The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Lechia Gdańsk 41.6%
Draw 26.3%
Miedź Legnica 32.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
38.2%
23.5%
38.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
38.4%
23.6%
38%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lechia Gdańsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)
Miedź Legnica has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Miedź Legnica might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lechia Gdańsk than the current prediction. (-3.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Miedź Legnica than the current prediction. (+5.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Miedź Legnica could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Lechia Gdańsk - Miedź Legnica Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Holewinski A. (G) 19. Kopasek S. 4. Lopata K. 21. Beskorovaynyi D. 3. Malov D. 33. Wojtowicz T. 6. Ivanov H. 99. Neugebauer T. (C) 7. Dodaj K. 13. Shakh A. 97. Blanuta V.
1. Lucic I. (G) 49. Szymoniak O. 99. Noiszewski K. 78. Mazur M. 3. Grudzinski M. (C) 10. Letniowski J. 70. Hajda W. 18. Cordoba A. 80. Petrovic Z. 98. Antonik K. 21. Stanclik D.
Substitutes
8. Adkonis J. 17. Bambecki I. 9. Glogowski M. 40. Madej W. 30. Mena J. 90. Sonko B. 88. Szczepankiewicz B. 22. Weirauch S. (G) 23. Ziolkowski A.
7. Bochnak M. 9. Fucak K. 30. Jovicic M. 44. Korczakowski I. 95. Mansfeld M. 11. Norlin G. 52. Olewinski O. 8. Serafin J. 12. Sydorenko D. (G)
Coaches
Lupashko V.
Niedzwiedz J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
31', Noiszewski K. 🟨,
32', 1 - 0, Neugebauer T. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
53', 2 - 0, Dodaj K. ⚽, Shakh A. (A),
56', Szymoniak O. ↓, Olewinski O. ↑,
56', Letniowski J. ↓, Fucak K. ↑,
56', Hajda W. ↓, Korczakowski I. ↑,
60', Ivanov H. ↓, Adkonis J. ↑,
68', Stanclik D. ↓, Mansfeld M. ↑,
71', Grudzinski M. 🟨,
73', Shakh A. ↓, Glogowski M. ↑,
73', Wojtowicz T. ↓, Bambecki I. ↑,
75', Grudzinski M. ↓, Norlin G. ↑,
81', 2 - 1, Mansfeld M. ⚽,
84', Bambecki I. 🟨,
87', Bambecki I. 🟥,
88', Blanuta V. ↓, Madej W. ↑,
88', Glogowski M. ↓, Szczepankiewicz B. ↑,
90', Kopasek S. 🟨,
90+1', Dodaj K. 🟨,
Preview
An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 2 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lechia won 2.
Recent performances by Lechia have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Miedź is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Lechia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Lechia has had a series of away games.
Recently, Miedź has had a series of home games.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Lechia won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:6. (average 1.7:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Lechia won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:0. (average 2.7:0).
Outrights of Polish Division 1 for now
Lechia Gdansk: 11.59% Legnica: 4.51%
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
5
Legnica
9
4
2
3
14:9
5
14
8
Lechia Gdansk
9
4
1
4
17:15
2
13
Last Results with these Odds
Lechia Gdańsk - the odds 2.44 are the expected chance of winning is 38.25%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.
Miedź Legnica - the odds 2.44 are the expected chance of winning is 38.25%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.
Poland
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Holewinski A. (G) 
Kopasek S. 
Beskorovaynyi D. 
Ivanov H. 
Dodaj K. 
Blanuta V. 
Lucic I. (G) 
Cordoba A. 
Petrovic Z. 
Mena J. 
Sonko B. 
Fucak K. 
Jovicic M. 
Mansfeld M. 
Norlin G. 
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