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Leeds United - Tottenham Hotspur

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Match Info

  • Premier League - Round 7
  • Date: 4 October 2025, Saturday ๐Ÿ Finished
  • Location: Elland Road (Leeds) ๐ŸŒค๏ธ ...
  • Referee: Bramall T. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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    Leeds United Tottenham Hotspur
    Leeds United Tottenham Hotspur
    1 X 2
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    (Initially)    		 2.82 ↓
    (2.9)    		 3.4 ↓
    (3.72)    		 2.53 ↑
    (2.32)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

    • The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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    Current Win Probability

    Leeds United
    34%    		Draw
    28.2%    		Tottenham Hotspur
    37.8%

    Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
    33% 25.7% 41.3%

    Our Initial ML Estimation
    32.5% 25.3% 42.2%


    Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
  • Leeds United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
  • Tottenham Hotspur has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leeds United than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tottenham Hotspur than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

    • Who will win by Users?

    1
    X
    2
    15% 22.5% 62.5%

    Leeds United - Tottenham Hotspur Predictions

  • Users Predictions: 79 users predict this event. Leeds will win (votes: 12 - 15.2%). Tottenham will win (votes: 50 - 63.3%). It will Tie (votes: 17 - 21.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Tottenham: 52.7% โ€“ 73.9%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 35 Selected Experts predict this event. Leeds (votes: 6 - 17.1%). Tottenham (votes: 20 - 57.1%). Tie (votes: 9 - 25.7%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • DNB - Leeds (1.91) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .
    • AH 0 - Tottenham (1.89) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DC - Tottenham (1.48) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) ๐Ÿฅ‰ Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 40 Selected Experts predict this event. Leeds (votes: 8 - 20%). Tottenham (votes: 23 - 57.5%). Tie (votes: 9 - 22.5%).
  • Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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    Lineups

    Starting Lineups
    26. WalesDarlow K. (G)
      2. EnglandBogle J.
      6. WalesRodon J.
      5. NetherlandsStruijk P.
      3. SwedenGudmundsson G.
      8. EnglandLongstaff S.
      4. WalesAmpadu E. (C)
    18. GermanyStach A.
    11. USAAaronson B.
      9. EnglandCalvert-Lewin D.
    19. SwitzerlandOkafor N.
    		  1. ItalyVicario G. (G)
    23. SpainPorro P.
    17. ArgentinaRomero C. (C)
    37. Netherlandsvan de Ven M.
    13. ItalyUdogie D.
      6. PortugalPalhinha J.
    30. UruguayBentancur R.
    20. GhanaKudus M.
      7. NetherlandsSimons X.
    28. FranceOdobert W.
    11. FranceTel M.
    Substitutes
    15. SloveniaBijol J.
    23. BelgiumBornauw S.
    44. BulgariaGruev I.
    20. EnglandHarrison J.
    24. EnglandJustin J.
    16. FranceMeslier I. (G)
    14. GermanyNmecha L.
    10. NetherlandsPiroe J.
    22. JapanTanaka A.
    		15. SwedenBergvall L.
      4. AustriaDanso K.
    33. WalesDavies B.
    14. EnglandGray A.
    22. WalesJohnson B.
    31. CzechKinsky A. (G)
      9. BrazilRicharlison
    29. SenegalSarr P. M.
    24. EnglandSpence D.
    Coaches
         GermanyFarke D.
    		     DenmarkFrank T.

    Key Events of the Match

    • 1st Half (1 - 1)
    • 22', Kudus M. 🟨,
    • 23', 0 - 1, Tel M. ⚽, Kudus M. (A),
    • 34', 1 - 1, Okafor N. ⚽,
    • 41', Palhinha J. 🟨,
    • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
    • 52', Ampadu E. 🟨,
    • 57', 1 - 2, Kudus M. ⚽,
    • 64', Okafor N. 🟨,
    • 64', Romero C. 🟨,
    • 67', Aaronson B. ↓, Harrison J. ↑,
    • 67', Stach A. ↓, Tanaka A. ↑,
    • 73', Tel M. ↓, Sarr P. M. ↑,
    • 74', Simons X. ↓, Richarlison ↑,
    • 79', Gudmundsson G. ↓, Nmecha L. ↑,
    • 79', Okafor N. ↓, Piroe J. ↑,
    • 85', Odobert W. ↓, Danso K. ↑,
    • 89', Bogle J. ↓, Justin J. ↑,
    • 89', Kudus M. ↓, Johnson B. ↑,

    Preview

  • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 12 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )).
  • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leeds won 1.
  • Leeds has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
  • Tottenham is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins โ€“ 2).
  • Tottenham may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
  • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
  • There will not play in Leeds: Gnonto W. (Calf Injury) James D. (Ankle Injury) Lucas Perri (Thigh Injury)
  • There will not play in Tottenham: Bissouma Y. (Knee Injury) Dragusin R. (Knee Injury) Kulusevski D. (Knee Injury) Maddison J. (Knee Injury) Solanke D. (Ankle Injury) Takai K. (Foot Injury)
  • There are questionable in Leeds: Gray H. (Groin Injury)
  • There are questionable in Tottenham: Kolo Muani R. (Thigh Injury)
  • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Leeds won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 10:19. (average 1.4:2.7).
  • Including home matches between the teams, Leeds won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:10. (average 1.5:2.5).

    • Last Results with these Odds

    Tottenham Hotspur - the odds 2.32 are the expected chance of winning is 41.31%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

    Form
    ✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;
    - Leeds United
    English Premier League
    27.09.25 Leeds United - Bournemouth 2:2 ✺
    20.09.25 Wolverhampton Wanderers - Leeds United 1:3 ✺
    13.09.25 Fulham - Leeds United 1:0 ✺
    30.08.25 Leeds United - Newcastle United 0:0 ✺
    English League Cup
    26.08.25 Sheffield Wednesday - Leeds United 2:1 penalties ✺
    Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4
    TWLTL
    - Tottenham Hotspur
    UEFA Champions League
    30.09.25 Bodรธ Glimt - Tottenham Hotspur 2:2 ✺
    English Premier League
    27.09.25 Tottenham Hotspur - Wolverhampton Wanderers 1:1 ✺
    English League Cup
    24.09.25 Tottenham Hotspur - Doncaster Rovers 3:0 ✺
    English Premier League
    20.09.25 Brighton & Hove Albion - Tottenham Hotspur 2:2 ✺
    UEFA Champions League
    16.09.25 Tottenham Hotspur - Villarreal 1:0 ✺
    Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3
    TTWTW
    Latest Head to Head
    English Premier League
    28.05.23 Leeds United - Tottenham Hotspur 1:4
    12.11.22 Tottenham Hotspur - Leeds United 4:3
    26.02.22 Leeds United - Tottenham Hotspur 0:4
    21.11.21 Tottenham Hotspur - Leeds United 2:1
    08.05.21 Leeds United - Tottenham Hotspur 3:1
    02.01.21 Tottenham Hotspur - Leeds United 3:0
    English FA Cup
    27.01.13 Leeds United - Tottenham Hotspur 2:1
    Upcoming Matches
    ✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;
    - Leeds United
    English Premier League
    31.10.26 Bournemouth - Leeds United ✺
    - Tottenham Hotspur
    English Premier League
    31.10.26 Tottenham Hotspur - Crystal Palace ✺

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