Match Info

Premier League - Round 4

Date: 13 September 2025, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Craven Cottage (London) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Pawson C. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	DStv Now, SuperSport OTT 2
Argentina	11:00	Disney+, ESPN 4
Armenia	18:00	Fast Sports
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 6, TOD
Australia	00:00	Stan Sport
Bosnia And Herzegovina	16:00	Arena Sport 1
Brazil	11:00	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 2, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	17:00	Nova Sport
Canada	10:00	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada, fubo Sports Network 7 DRM
China	22:00	Migu, ZhiBo8
Croatia	16:00	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	17:00	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Czech Republic	16:00	CANAL+ Sport 8, CANAL+ Sport, Oneplay
Denmark	16:00	Viaplay, Viaplay Sport News
Europe	—	Go3 Extra Sports Baltic
Finland	17:00	Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool
France	16:00	Canal+ Live 10
Germany	16:00	Sky Sport 8
Greece	17:00	Nova Sports Start
Hong Kong	22:00	M Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Premier League 5
Iceland	14:00	SÝN Sport 3
India	19:30	Disney+ Hotstar
Indonesia	21:00	Vidio
Italy	16:00	Sky Sport 258
Japan	23:00	U-NEXT
Malaysia	22:00	Astro Premier League 4, Canal+ Action, Canal+
Malta	16:00	GO TV, TSN Malta 8
Mexico	08:00	HBO Max
Myanmar	20:30	Canal+ Myanmar
Nepal	19:45	Kantipur Max
Netherlands	16:00	Viaplay
New Zealand	02:00	Sky Sport 9
Nigeria	15:00	SuperSport OTT 2
North Central America	—	Disney+ Caribbean
North Macedonia	16:00	MaxTV GO
Norway	16:00	Viaplay, V Sport Premier League 1
Peru	09:00	Disney+
Poland	16:00	Canal+ Extra 6
Portugal	15:00	DAZN 3, DAZN / App
Romania	17:00	Voyo
Serbia	16:00	Arena Sport 1
Singapore	22:00	Hub Premier 4
Slovakia	16:00	Voyo
Slovenia	16:00	Arena Sport 2
South Africa	16:00	SuperSport OTT 2
South America	—	ESPN 4 South
South Korea	23:00	Coupang Play
Spain	16:00	DAZN Espana
Sweden	16:00	Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool
Thailand	21:00	AIS PLAY
Turkey	17:00	beIN Connect
Uruguay	11:00	Disney+
Usa	10:00	Fubo Sports Network, NBC Sports App, NBC Universo, NBC, Telemundo, UNIVERSO NOW, USA Network
Venezuela	10:00	Disney+


	Fulham		Leeds United

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.5	3.9
	2	3.3	3.8
	2	3.5	3.9
	1.99	3.6	4.05
	2.68	2.56	3.34	Watch
	1.91	3.6	3.8
	1.99	3.65	4.02	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.07 ↑ (1.93)	3.39 ↓ (3.68)	3.83 ↓ (4.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fulham
46.4%

Draw
28.4%

Leeds United
25.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

50%

26.2%

23.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.4%

26%

23.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fulham has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

Leeds United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fulham than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leeds United than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
68.7%	20.8%	10.4%

Fulham - Leeds United Predictions

Users Predictions: 48 users predict this event. Fulham will win (votes: 33 - 68.8%). Leeds will win (votes: 5 - 10.4%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 20.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fulham: 55.7% – 81.9%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.25 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Leeds (2.76) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Leeds (1.83) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

BTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Leeds (2.74) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Fulham will win (10 of 12 users predict this - 83.33%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 16 Selected Experts predict this event. Fulham (votes: 10 - 62.5%). Leeds (votes: 5 - 31.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 6.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Leno B. (G) 2. Tete K. 5. Andersen J. (C) 3. Bassey C. 30. Sessegnon R. 20. Lukic S. 16. Berge S. 8. Wilson H. 24. King J. 17. Iwobi A. 9. Rodrigo Muniz	26. Darlow K. (G) 2. Bogle J. 3. Gudmundsson G. 6. Rodon J. 5. Struijk P. 8. Longstaff S. 4. Ampadu E. (C) 18. Stach A. 11. Aaronson B. 9. Calvert-Lewin D. 19. Okafor N.
Substitutes
10. Cairney T. 21. Castagne T. 31. Diop I. 7. Jimenez R. 22. Kevin 23. Lecomte B. (G) 33. Robinson A. 32. Smith Rowe E. 11. Traore A.	15. Bijol J. 29. Gnonto W. 44. Gruev I. 20. Harrison J. 7. James D. 24. Justin J. 16. Meslier I. (G) 14. Nmecha L. 22. Tanaka A.
Coaches
Silva M.	Farke D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
11', Stach A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
60', King J. ↓, Smith Rowe E. ↑,
60', Wilson H. ↓, Traore A. ↑,
64', Okafor N. 🟨,
68', Okafor N. ↓, Harrison J. ↑,
68', Calvert-Lewin D. ↓, Nmecha L. ↑,
76', Iwobi A. ↓, Kevin ↑,
77', Aaronson B. ↓, James D. ↑,
79', Berge S. 🟨,
84', Rodrigo Muniz ↓, Jimenez R. ↑,
84', Berge S. ↓, Cairney T. ↑,
88', James D. ↓, Gnonto W. ↑,
90+4', 1 - 0, Gudmundsson G. (Own goal),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fulham won 3.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

In this match, Fulham is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Leeds: Lucas Perri (Injury)

There are questionable in Leeds: Ampadu E. (Knee Injury) Tanaka A. (Knee Injury)

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Fulham won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 20:21. (average 1.3:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Fulham won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:10. (average 1.2:1.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fulham FC
English Premier League
30.08.25	Chelsea - Fulham	2:0 ✺
English League Cup
27.08.25	Fulham - Bristol City	2:0 ✺
English Premier League
24.08.25	Fulham - Manchester United	1:1 ✺
16.08.25	Brighton & Hove Albion - Fulham	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
09.08.25	Fulham - Eintracht Frankfurt	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 LWTTW
- Leeds United
English Premier League
30.08.25	Leeds United - Newcastle United	0:0 ✺
English League Cup
26.08.25	Sheffield Wednesday - Leeds United	2:1 penalties ✺
English Premier League
23.08.25	Arsenal - Leeds United	5:0 ✺
18.08.25	Leeds United - Everton	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
09.08.25	Leeds United - Milan	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 TLLWT

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League
22.04.23	Fulham - Leeds United	2:1
English FA Cup
28.02.23	Fulham - Leeds United	2:0
English Premier League
23.10.22	Leeds United - Fulham	2:3
English League Cup
21.09.21	Fulham - Leeds United	0:1 penalties
English Premier League
19.03.21	Fulham - Leeds United	1:2
19.09.20	Leeds United - Fulham	4:3
English League Championship
27.06.20	Leeds United - Fulham	3:0

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