What is the expert prediction for Leeds United vs Newcastle United?

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Leeds United vs Newcastle United Predictions, H2H Stats & TV Channels (Saturday, August 30, 2025)

Match Info

Premier League - Round 3

Date: 30 August 2025, Saturday

Location: Elland Road (Leeds)

Referee: Bankes P. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	CANAL+ Sport 3, DStv Now, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport Premier League
Argentina	Disney+
Armenia	Fast Sports 1, Fast Sports, Setanta Sports 1
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD
Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria Premier League
Azerbaijan	Setanta Sports 1
Belgium	Play Sports 1, Play Sports 2
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 1, Arena Sport 1
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada, fubo Sports Network
Chile	Disney+
China	Migu
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3
Czech-republic	CANAL+ Sport, Oneplay
Denmark	TV3+, Viaplay
Europe	Go3 Extra Sports Baltic, Setanta Sports 1 Baltic
Finland	Viaplay 2 Urheilu, Viaplay, V Sport Premium
France	CANAL+ Foot, Canal+ Live 2
Georgia	Setanta Sports 1
Germany	Amazon Prime Video, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Premier League, WOW
Greece	Nova Sports Premier League
Hong-kong	M Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Premier League 1, Now Sports Premier League TV
Hungary	Spiler1 TV, TV2 Play Premium
Iceland	SÝN Sport
India	Disney+ Hotstar, Star Sports Select 1
Indonesia	Vidio
Iran	IRIB Varzesh
Ireland	NOW
Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 4K, Sky Sport Calcio
Japan	U-NEXT
Kenya	Gotv
Kosovo	Arena Premium 2
Kyrgyzstan	Setanta Sports 1
Malaysia	Astro Go, Astro Grandstand, Astro Premier League, Canal+, Canal+ Sport 1, Sooka
Maldives	Medianet
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 2
Mexico	Amazon Prime Video, Caliente TV
Moldova	Setanta Sports 1
Myanmar	Canal+ Myanmar
Netherlands	Viaplay
New-zealand	Sky Sport Premier League
Nigeria	Supersport Maximo 2, SuperSport Premier League
Norway	Viaplay, V Sport Premier League 1
Peru	Disney+
Poland	Canal+ Extra 1, Eleven Sports 2
Portugal	DAZN 2, DAZN / App
Romania	Pro TV, Voyo
Serbia	Arena Premium 2
Singapore	Hub Premier 1
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1
South-africa	SuperSport Premier League
South-korea	Coupang Play
Spain	DAZN 1 Espana, DAZN Espana
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Premium
Switzerland	Sky Sport Premier League, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Taiwan	ELTA Sports 2
Tajikistan	Setanta Sports 1
Thailand	AIS PLAY
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Turkmenistan	Setanta Sports 1
Ukraine	Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports
United-kingdom	BBC Radio 5 Live, NOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports Main Event, Sky Sports Premier League, Sky Sports UHD
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	NBC, Peacock TV, SiriusXM FC
Uzbekistan	Setanta Sports 1
Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	K+ Sport 1, K+, TV 360
World	Sport 24 At Sea


	Leeds United		Newcastle United

	1	X	2
	3.9	3.4	2
	3.3	3.6	2.1
	3.65	3.55	2.05
	3.9	3.58	2.1
	3.52	3.20	2.14	Watch
	3.25	3.5	2.1
	4.18	3.43	1.96	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.67 ↑ (3.42)	3.47 ↓ (3.58)	2.06 ↓ (2.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leeds United
26.1%

Draw
27.6%

Newcastle United
46.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28%

26.7%

45.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leeds United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Newcastle United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
19.4%	22.4%	58.2%

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Predictions

Users Predictions: 63 users predict this event. Leeds will win (votes: 12 - 19%). Newcastle will win (votes: 39 - 61.9%). It will Tie (votes: 12 - 19%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Newcastle: 49.9% – 73.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 22 Selected Experts predict this event. Leeds (votes: 7 - 31.8%). Newcastle (votes: 11 - 50%). Tie (votes: 4 - 18.2%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Lucas Perri (G) 2. Bogle J. 6. Rodon J. 5. Struijk P. (C) 3. Gudmundsson G. 8. Longstaff S. 44. Gruev I. 18. Stach A. 7. James D. 14. Nmecha L. 29. Gnonto W.	1. Pope N. (G) 2. Trippier K. 5. Schar F. 4. Botman S. 33. Burn D. 39. Bruno Guimaraes (C) 8. Tonali S. 41. Ramsey J. 23. Murphy J. 18. Osula W. 21. Livramento V.
Substitutes
11. Aaronson B. 15. Bijol J. 23. Bornauw S. 9. Calvert-Lewin D. 26. Darlow K. (G) 20. Harrison J. 24. Justin J. 19. Okafor N. 10. Piroe J.	11. Barnes H. 20. Elanga A. 3. Hall L. 17. Krafth E. 6. Lascelles J. 67. Miley L. 32. Ramsdale A. (G) 12. Thiaw M. 28. Willock J.
Coaches
Farke D.	Howe E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
36', Pope N. 🟨,
40', Gnonto W. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Ramsey J. ↓, Miley L. ↑,
60', James D. ↓, Aaronson B. ↑,
60', Gnonto W. ↓, Harrison J. ↑,
62', Trippier K. ↓, Hall L. ↑,
62', Murphy J. ↓, Elanga A. ↑,
69', Botman S. ↓, Barnes H. ↑,
70', Nmecha L. ↓, Calvert-Lewin D. ↑,
80', Gudmundsson G. ↓, Justin J. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leeds won 1.

Recent performances by Leeds have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Newcastle is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Leeds may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Newcastle has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

There will not play in Leeds: Ampadu E. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Newcastle: Gordon A. (Red Card) Isak A. (Inactive) Joelinton (Groin Injury)

There are questionable in Leeds: Okafor N. (Muscle Injury) Tanaka A. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Newcastle: Tonali S. (Shoulder Injury)

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Leeds won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:12. (average 1.2:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Leeds won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:7. (average 1.8:1.8).

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leeds United
English League Cup
26.08.25	Sheffield Wednesday - Leeds United	2:1 penalties ✺
English Premier League
23.08.25	Arsenal - Leeds United	5:0 ✺
18.08.25	Leeds United - Everton	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
09.08.25	Leeds United - Milan	1:1 ✺
02.08.25	Leeds United - Villarreal	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LLWTT
- Newcastle United
English Premier League
25.08.25	Newcastle United - Liverpool	2:3 ✺
16.08.25	Aston Villa - Newcastle United	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
09.08.25	Newcastle United - Atlético Madrid	0:2 ✺
08.08.25	Newcastle United - Espanyol	2:2 ✺
03.08.25	Newcastle United - Tottenham Hotspur	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LTLTT

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League
13.05.23	Leeds United - Newcastle United	2:2
31.12.22	Newcastle United - Leeds United	0:0
22.01.22	Leeds United - Newcastle United	0:1
17.09.21	Newcastle United - Leeds United	1:1
26.01.21	Newcastle United - Leeds United	1:2
16.12.20	Leeds United - Newcastle United	5:2
English League Championship
14.04.17	Newcastle United - Leeds United	1:1

Leeds United - Newcastle United: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide