Match Info
Date: 14 September 2026, Monday
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Leeds United |
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Newcastle United |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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2.25 |
3.4 |
2.9 |
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2.30 |
3.50 |
2.95 |
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2.3 |
3.5 |
3 |
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2.39 |
3.6 |
3.06 |
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2.44 |
3.72 |
2.84 |
 Watch |
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2.34 |
3.5 |
2.95 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.34 ↓
(2.39) |
3.54 ↓
(3.54) |
2.95 ↑
(2.84) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
- The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Leeds United
40.8% | Draw
26.9% | Newcastle United
32.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Leeds United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)Newcastle United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leeds United than the current prediction. (-0.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newcastle United than the current prediction. (+0.9%)Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leeds won 0.Right now, both teams are showing solid form.Recently, Newcastle has had a series of home games. In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Leeds won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 14:16. (average 1.3:1.5).Including home matches between the teams, Leeds won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:7. (average 1.4:1.4).
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Outrights of English Premier League for now
Leeds: 0.51%
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 7 | Newcastle | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6:4 | 2 | 5 |
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| 9 | Leeds | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 5 |
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Last Results with these Odds
Newcastle United - the odds 2.84 are the expected chance of winning is 33.41%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| English Premier League | | | 07.01.26 | Newcastle United - Leeds United | 4:3 | | 30.08.25 | Leeds United - Newcastle United | 0:0 | | 13.05.23 | Leeds United - Newcastle United | 2:2 | | 31.12.22 | Newcastle United - Leeds United | 0:0 | | 22.01.22 | Leeds United - Newcastle United | 0:1 | | 17.09.21 | Newcastle United - Leeds United | 1:1 | | 26.01.21 | Newcastle United - Leeds United | 1:2 |
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Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
