Match Info

Date: 4 April 2021, Sunday


	Leganés		Sabadell

	1	X	2
	1.72	3.3	5.25	Watch
	1.7	3.4	5.25
	1.65	3.55	5.6	Watch
	1.72	3.2	5.4
	1.78	3.31	6.03
				Watch
	1.72	3.5	5.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↑ (1.66)	3.38 ↓ (3.44)	5.51 ↓ (5.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leganés
55%

Draw
27.9%

Sabadell
17.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.5%

27.3%

16.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.7%

16.3%

27.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leganés has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Sabadell has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leganés than the current prediction. (-21.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Leganés that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sabadell than the current prediction. (+10.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sabadell could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.9%	3.2%	12.9%

Leganés - Sabadell Predictions

Users Predictions: Leganés will win (26 of 31 users predict this - 83.87%).
Confidence interval (95%): 70.92% – 96.82%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion to LaLiga2 (Promotion to Play Offs) and 19 in the zone Relegation).

Leganés has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a good chance of prom. playoffs (83%), has a chance of promoted (21%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Sabadell has a good chance of relegated (53%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has not chance of win league.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Leganés could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Leganés is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Leganés won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Leganés won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Leganés
Spanish LaLiga2
01.04.21	Mallorca - Leganés	1:0 ✺
27.03.21	Almería - Leganés	1:1 ✺
20.03.21	Leganés - Fuenlabrada	0:2 ✺
14.03.21	Real Oviedo - Leganés	1:3 ✺
06.03.21	Leganés - Castellón	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LTLWT
- Sabadell FC
Spanish LaLiga2
31.03.21	Sabadell - Girona	2:2 ✺
28.03.21	Lugo - Sabadell	0:1 ✺
20.03.21	Sabadell - Sporting de Gijón	1:1 ✺
13.03.21	Castellón - Sabadell	2:1 ✺
07.03.21	Málaga - Sabadell	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 TWTLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
29.10.20	Sabadell - Leganés	1:0
16.05.15	Leganés - Sabadell	1:1
14.12.14	Sabadell - Leganés	1:2

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