Match Info

LaLiga - Round 32

Date: 19 April 2025, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadi Mallorca Son Moix (Palma de Mallorca) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Ruiz A. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	DStv Now, New World Sport 3, New World Sport App, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Life, SuperSport GOtv Football, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3
Argentina	13:30	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1
Armenia	20:30	Fast Sports
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, TOD
Australia	02:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Austria	18:30	DAZN, Sky Go Austria
Belgium	18:30	DAZN 1
Bosnia And Herzegovina	18:30	Arena Premium 3
Brazil	13:30	Disney+
Bulgaria	19:30	Max Sport 4
Canada	12:30	TSN+
Chile	12:30	DirecTV Sports
China	00:30	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Croatia	18:30	Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
Czech Republic	18:30	Nova Sport 4
Denmark	18:30	TV2 Play
Ecuador	11:30	DirecTV Sports
Finland	19:30	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
France	18:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 8, Free
Georgia	20:30	Silk Sport 1
Germany	18:30	DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 1 Deutsch
Greece	19:30	Nova Sports 1
Hong Kong	00:30	M Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Sports 2
Hungary	18:30	Spiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium
India	22:00	GXR World
Indonesia	23:30	beIN Connect, RCTI+, Vidio
Israel	19:30	ONE Sport
Italy	18:30	DAZN Italia
Japan	01:30	DAZN Japan, U-NEXT
Kenya	19:30	Gotv
Kosovo	18:30	K Sport 2
Laos	23:30	beIN Connect
Malaysia	00:30	beIN Connect
Maldives	21:30	ICE Plus, Medianet
Malta	18:30	GO TV, TSN Malta 4
Mexico	10:30	Sky Sport
Netherlands	18:30	Ziggo Sport 2, Ziggo Sport
New Zealand	04:30	beIN Connect
Nigeria	17:30	SuperSport LaLiga
North Central America	—	DirecTV Sports Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte, SportsMax 2 Caribbean, SportsMax App Caribbean
North Macedonia	18:30	MaxTV GO
Norway	18:30	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport Premium
Peru	11:30	DirecTV Sports
Philippines	00:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Poland	18:30	CANAL+ Sport 4
Portugal	17:30	DAZN 2
Romania	19:30	Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 4
Russia	19:30	MATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Okko Sport, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	18:30	Arena Sport 2, Arena Sport 3
Slovakia	18:30	Voyo
South Africa	18:30	SuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga
South America	—	DGO Latin America, ViX Latin America
South Korea	01:30	Coupang Play
Spain	18:30	LaLiga TV Bar, M+ LaLiga TV
Sweden	18:30	TV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 1
Switzerland	18:30	Blue Sport 3, Blue Sport 3
Taiwan	00:30	DAZN
Tanzania	19:30	Azam Sports 4
Thailand	23:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Turkey	19:30	Exxen, S Sport, S Sport+
Ukraine	19:30	MEGOGO Futbol 1
United Kingdom	17:30	LaLiga TV, Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	13:30	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1
Usa	12:30	ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+
Venezuela	12:30	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1, Inter
Vietnam	23:30	K+, SCTV 15, SCTV Online
International	16:30	Disney+


	Mallorca		Leganés

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.1	5.25	Watch
	1.87	3.2	4.8
	1.95	3.1	5	Watch
	1.92	3.15	5.6
	1.89	3.06	5.63	Watch
	1.85	3.1	4.6
	1.95	3.14	5.45	Watch
	1.95	3.1	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.9 ↑ (1.81)	3.12 ↓ (3.41)	5.17 ↑ (5.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

Watch this match and Spanish LaLiga with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: ESPN Deportes

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Current Win Probability

Mallorca
50.5%

Draw
30.8%

Leganés
18.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

53%

28.2%

18.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.8%

27.1%

19.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mallorca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Leganés has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mallorca than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leganés than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
65.2%	17.4%	17.4%

Mallorca - Leganés Predictions

Users Predictions: 23 users predict this event. Mallorca will win (votes: 15 - 65.2%). Leganés will win (votes: 4 - 17.4%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 17.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mallorca: 45.7% – 84.7%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Mallorca will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Greif D. (G) 23. Maffeo P. 24. Valjent M. 21. Raillo A. (C) 6. Copete J. 22. Mojica J. 14. Rodriguez D. 12. Samu Costa 10. Darder S. 17. Larin C. 9. Prats A.	13. Dmitrovic M. (G) 12. Rosier V. 3. Saenz J. 6. Gonzalez S. (C) 20. Hernandez J. 5. Tapia R. 17. Neyou Y. 2. Altimira A. 8. Cisse S. 30. Diomande Y. 19. Garcia D.
Substitutes
20. Chiquinho 30. Domenech M. 3. Lato T. 32. Lopez D. 5. Mascarell O. 2. Morey Bauza M. 25. Pichu Cuellar (G) 13. Roman L. (G) 28. Salas J. 18. Sanchez A. 16. Valery	36. Alvin (G) 14. Brasanac D. 24. Chicco J. 11. Cruz J. 9. de la Fuente M. 18. Duk 21. Lopez R. 23. Munir El Haddadi 7. Rodriguez O. 1. Soriano J. (G)
Coaches
Arrasate J.	Jimenez B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
37', Arrasate J. 🟨,
44', Rodriguez D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
59', Maffeo P. 🟨,
64', Prats A. ↓, Domenech M. ↑,
64', Rodriguez D. ↓, Sanchez A. ↑,
76', Cisse S. ↓, Rodriguez O. ↑,
76', Garcia D. ↓, de la Fuente M. ↑,
76', Neyou Y. 🟨,
80', Neyou Y. ↓, Brasanac D. ↑,
85', Mojica J. ↓, Lato T. ↑,
85', Maffeo P. ↓, Morey Bauza M. ↑,

Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ LaLiga2).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Mallorca won 3.

Recent matches Mallorca is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Leganés has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Mallorca is a favorite.

There will not play in Mallorca: Asano T. (Hamstring Injury) Morlanes M. (Hamstring Injury) Muriqi V. (Hamstring Injury) Navarro R. (Hamstring Injury)

There will not play in Leganés: Barisic B. (Knee Injury) Franquesa E. (Knee Injury) Nastasic M. (Muscle Injury) Raba D. (Yellow Cards)

Last 9 head-to-head matches Mallorca won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 8:7 (average 0.9:0.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Mallorca won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5:3 (average 1.3:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- RCD Mallorca
Spanish LaLiga
12.04.25	Real Sociedad - Mallorca	0:2 ✺
05.04.25	Mallorca - Celta de Vigo	1:2 ✺
30.03.25	Valencia - Mallorca	1:0 ✺
15.03.25	Mallorca - Espanyol	2:1 ✺
09.03.25	Athletic Bilbao - Mallorca	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.7 WLLWT
- CD Leganés
Spanish LaLiga
12.04.25	Leganés - Barcelona	0:1 ✺
07.04.25	Leganés - Osasuna	1:1 ✺
29.03.25	Real Madrid - Leganés	3:2 ✺
16.03.25	Leganés - Betis	2:3 ✺
08.03.25	Celta de Vigo - Leganés	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga
31.08.24	Leganés - Mallorca	0:1
Spanish LaLiga2
01.04.21	Mallorca - Leganés	1:0
12.12.20	Leganés - Mallorca	0:1
Spanish LaLiga
19.06.20	Mallorca - Leganés	1:1
26.10.19	Leganés - Mallorca	1:0
Spanish LaLiga2
02.04.16	Mallorca - Leganés	3:0
01.11.15	Leganés - Mallorca	0:0

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