Match Info

LaLiga2 - Round 33

Date: 2 April 2026, Thursday

Location: Estadio Municipal de Butarque (Leganes)

Referee: Fuentes A. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Sporty TV, Sporty TV App, StarTimes App
Argentina	DirecTV Sports, DSports 6
Australia	beIN Connect
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 3
Chile	DirecTV Sports
Croatia	Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
Ecuador	DirecTV Sports, DSports 6
Indonesia	beIN Connect, Vidio
Kosovo	Arena Premium 3
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Sports 2
Mexico	Izzi TV, Sky Sport
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-central-america	DirecTV Sports Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
Peru	DirecTV Sports
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Portugal	DAZN 1, DAZN / App
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	Arena Premium 3
Singapore	beIN Sports 2
Slovenia	Arena Sport 3
South-america	DGO Latin America
Spain	Aragon TV, DAZN Espana, Gol Play, GolStadium, LaLiga Hypermotion, Movistar Plus+
Thailand	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Sport, MEGOGO Ukraine
Uruguay	DirecTV Sports, DSports 6
Venezuela	DirecTV Sports, Inter


	Leganés		Zaragoza

	1	X	2
	1.96	3.25	3.9	Watch
	1.98	3.25	3.7	Watch
	2.05	3.31	4.1
	1.99	3.35	3.99	Watch
	2	3.1	3.8
	2.04	3.41	4.04	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2 ↑ (1.97)	3.28 ↓ (3.4)	3.92 ↑ (3.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leganés
47.1%

Draw
28.8%

Zaragoza
24.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.8%

27.8%

24.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.2%

27.6%

24.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leganés has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Zaragoza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leganés than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zaragoza than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
70%	10%	20%

Leganés - Zaragoza Predictions

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Leganés will win (votes: 14 - 70%). Zaragoza will win (votes: 4 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Leganés: 49.9% – 90.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Soriano J. (C) 36. Leiva M. 5. Miquel I. 2. Marvel 15. Franquesa E. 26. Guirao C. 20. Plano O. 24. Diawara A. 11. Duk 23. Millan A. 10. Cruz J.	1. Andrada E. (G) 2. Sebastian J. 18. El Yamiq J. 16. Radovanovic A. 27. Larios J. 6. Bare K. (C) 23. Cuenca M. A. 33. Saidu Y. 17. Moyano F. 11. Gonzalez R. 9. Gomez D.
Substitutes
12. Asue L. 46. Bayon S. 21. Campos A. 8. Cisse S. 22. Figueredo S. 19. Garcia D. 17. Garcia N. 31. Garrido J. (G) 14. Lopez R. 9. Rodriguez D. 48. Rodriguez G. 13. San Roman M. (G)	22. Agada W. 12. Bakis S. 25. Cumic N. 36. Gomes A. 19. Kodro K. 26. Mensah M. 8. Moya T. 35. Obon (G) 15. Pomares C. 13. Rodriguez A. (G) 7. Soberon M. 3. Tasende D.
Coaches
Oca I.	Navarro D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
19', 1 - 0, Plano O. ⚽,
35', 1 - 1, Moyano F. ⚽, Cuenca M. A. (A),
36', Guirao C. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Guirao C. ↓, Cisse S. ↑,
68', Moyano F. ↓, Tasende D. ↑,
68', Bare K. ↓, Mensah M. ↑,
68', Cuenca M. A. ↓, Cumic N. ↑,
69', Millan A. ↓, Garcia D. ↑,
78', Plano O. ↓, Rodriguez D. ↑,
78', Sebastian J. ↓, Gomes A. ↑,
79', Miquel I. 🟨,
82', Cruz J. ↓, Asue L. ↑,
85', Gomez D. ↓, Kodro K. ↑,

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 17 and 19 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leganés won 1.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Leganés might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Leganés won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 23:18. (average 1.6:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Leganés won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 14:8. (average 2:1.1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
15	Leganes	8	3	2	3	6:11	-5	11

Last Results with these Odds

Zaragoza - the odds 3.86 are the expected chance of winning is 24.4%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Leganés
Spanish LaLiga2
28.03.26	Málaga - Leganés	0:0 ✺
21.03.26	Leganés - Ceuta	5:2 ✺
14.03.26	Valladolid - Leganés	3:2 ✺
08.03.26	Leganés - Eibar	0:1 ✺
02.03.26	Sporting de Gijón - Leganés	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 TWLLT
- Real Zaragoza
Spanish LaLiga2
29.03.26	Zaragoza - Racing Santander	2:0 ✺
21.03.26	Deportivo A Coruña - Zaragoza	2:1 ✺
14.03.26	Zaragoza - Almería	2:0 ✺
06.03.26	Cádiz - Zaragoza	0:1 ✺
28.02.26	Zaragoza - Burgos	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.8 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
30.11.25	Zaragoza - Leganés	3:2
27.04.24	Leganés - Zaragoza	1:1
02.12.23	Zaragoza - Leganés	1:0
12.03.23	Zaragoza - Leganés	3:0
19.12.22	Leganés - Zaragoza	2:1
11.02.22	Leganés - Zaragoza	2:1
22.11.21	Zaragoza - Leganés	0:2

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