The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Legia Warsaw 64%
Draw 21.3%
Baník Ostrava 14.7%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
53.4%
24.4%
22.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
57.7%
22.6%
20.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Legia Warsaw has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Legia Warsaw's performance.
Baník Ostrava has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Baník Ostrava might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Legia Warsaw than the current prediction. (-6.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Legia Warsaw that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Baník Ostrava than the current prediction. (+5.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Baník Ostrava could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
76.6%
14.9%
8.5%
Legia Warsaw - Baník Ostrava Predictions
Users Predictions:
45 users predict this event. Legia will win (votes: 35 - 77.8%). Baník Ostrava will win (votes: 4 - 8.9%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 13.3%). Confidence interval (95%) for Legia: 65.7% – 89.9%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH -1.5 - Legia (2.72) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
BTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
1X2, 1st Half - Legia (2.00) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
TQ, OT - Baník Ostrava (votes: 1 - 100%) .
BTS, 2nd Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
BTS, 1st Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Legia Warsaw will win (21 of 26 users predict this - 80.77%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 29 Selected Experts predict this event. Legia (votes: 23 - 79.3%). Baník Ostrava (votes: 3 - 10.3%). Tie (votes: 3 - 10.3%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Tobiasz K. (G) 7. Wszolek P. 24. Ziolkowski J. 3. Kapuadi S. 19. Vinagre R. 67. Kapustka B. (C) 8. Augustyniak R. 22. Elitim J. 21. Bichakhchyan V. 18. Nsame J. 25. Morishita R.
30. Holec D. (G) 17. Frydrych M. (C) 37. Chalus M. 6. Pojezny K. 9. Buchta D. 5. Boula J. 12. Rigo T. 95. Holzer D. 11. Latal D. 10. Sin M. 33. Prekop E.
Substitutes
9. Alfarela M. 4. Burch M. 11. Chodyna K. 5. Goncalves C. 28. Gual M. 55. Jedrzejczyk A. 27. Kobylak G. (G) 23. Kun P. 17. Shkurin I. 30. Stojanovic P. 53. Urbanski W. 20. Zewlakow J.
77. Almasi L. 1. Budinsky V. (G) 18. Havran M. 99. Kornezos G. 15. Kpozo P. 41. Kubny M. (G) 19. Lischka D. 31. Munksgaard A. 25. Owusu D. 66. Rusnak M. 21. Sirotek T. 22. Zlatohlavek T.
Coaches
Iordanescu E.
Hapal P.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
15', 0 - 1, Prekop E. ⚽, Buchta D. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Latal D. ↓, Kpozo P. ↑,
46', Elitim J. ↓, Alfarela M. ↑,
54', 1 - 1, Nsame J. ⚽, Kapustka B. (A),
74', 2 - 1, Pojezny K. (Own goal), Morishita R. (A),
77', Morishita R. ↓, Goncalves C. ↑,
77', Bichakhchyan V. ↓, Chodyna K. ↑,
79', Sin M. ↓, Zlatohlavek T. ↑,
79', Holzer D. ↓, Owusu D. ↑,
81', Nsame J. ↓, Shkurin I. ↑,
90', Buchta D. (Pen),
90', Vinagre R. 🟨,
90+1', Buchta D. ↓, Munksgaard A. ↑,
90+1', Rigo T. ↓, Almasi L. ↑,
90+1', Tobiasz K. 🟨,
90+3', Vinagre R. ↓, Jedrzejczyk A. ↑,
90+5', Ziolkowski J. 🟨,
Preview
1st leg result: 2-2. 2nd leg.
Legia is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Baník Ostrava has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Recently, Legia has had a series of away games.
In this match, Legia is the team to beat.
We predict that Legia will win today's game, with odds of 1.58.
In the last 1 head-to-head match, Legia won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.
Armenia
Czech Republic
Poland
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Tobiasz K. (G) 
Kapuadi S. 
Vinagre R. 
Elitim J. 
Bichakhchyan V. 
Nsame J. 
Morishita R. 
Holec D. (G) 
Frydrych M. (C) 
Alfarela M. 
Burch M. 
Gual M. 
Shkurin I. 
Stojanovic P. 
Kornezos G. 
Kpozo P. 
Munksgaard A. 
Owusu D. 
Iordanescu E. 
