Match Info

Europa League - Qualification - 1/8-finals

Date: 10 July 2025, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stadion Wojska Polskiego (Warsaw) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Cerny D. (Cze)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Armenia	23:00	Fast Sports 2
Kazakhstan	01:00	Qazsport
Poland	21:00	sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app, TVP Sport
Slovakia	21:00	Arena sport 1


	Legia Warsaw		Aktobe

	1	X	2
	1.22	5.5	12	Watch
	1.26	6	10.5
	1.17	6.9	12.5	Watch
	1.18	6.77	14.28
				Watch
	1.25	5	11
	1.21	6.75	13	Watch
	1.19	6.4	12.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.21 ↓ (1.26)	6.19 ↑ (5.33)	12.25 ↑ (10.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Legia Warsaw
77.2%

Draw
15.1%

Aktobe
7.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

73.9%

17.5%

8.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Legia Warsaw has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Aktobe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
72.7%	15.9%	11.4%

Legia Warsaw - Aktobe Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.75 - Legia (1.87) (votes: 7 - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

AH -0.5 - Aktobe (8.50) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

EH -1 - Aktobe (25.00) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Legia Warsaw will win (31 of 38 users predict this - 81.58%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.25% – 93.91%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Legia Warsaw will win (18 of 24 users predict this - 75%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 33 Selected Experts predict this event. Legia (votes: 25 - 75.8%). Aktobe (votes: 5 - 15.2%). Tie (votes: 3 - 9.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Tobiasz K. (G) 7. Wszolek P. 12. Pankov R. 3. Kapuadi S. 23. Kun P. 67. Kapustka B. (C) 8. Augustyniak R. 22. Elitim J. 21. Bichakhchyan V. 28. Gual M. 25. Morishita R.	25. Vlad A. (G) 26. Andjelkovic N. 15. Kiki G. 5. Kairov B. (C) 14. Shvyrev V. 30. Korzun N. 4. Agbo U. 18. Jean J. 88. Vatajelu B. 20. Zhukov G. 19. Omirtaev O.
Substitutes
9. Alfarela M. 4. Burch M. 11. Chodyna K. 55. Jedrzejczyk A. 27. Kobylak G. (G) 51. Mozie P. 18. Nsame J. 17. Shkurin I. 53. Urbanski W. 20. Zewlakow J. 24. Ziolkowski J.	42. Baydavletov A. 12. Doumbouya A. 22. Seydakhmet E. 2. Skvortsov L. 31. Tanzharikov A. 1. Trofimets I. (G) 29. Usenov D.
Coaches
Iordanescu E.	Levchuk V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
25', 1 - 0, Bichakhchyan V. ⚽, Wszolek P. (A),
36', Agbo U. ↓, Usenov D. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
60', Omirtaev O. ↓, Doumbouya A. ↑,
63', Shvyrev V. 🟨,
64', Bichakhchyan V. ↓, Chodyna K. ↑,
73', Morishita R. ↓, Alfarela M. ↑,
73', Gual M. ↓, Shkurin I. ↑,
79', Shvyrev V. ↓, Baydavletov A. ↑,
79', Zhukov G. ↓, Seydakhmet E. ↑,
81', Kapustka B. ↓, Urbanski W. ↑,

Preview

1st leg.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Aktobe may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Legia is the obvious favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Legia won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0. (average 1.5:0).

Including home match between the teams, Legia won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Legia Warsaw
Club Friendly
30.06.25	Legia Warsaw - Jablonec	1:0 ✺
25.06.25	Ludogorets Razgrad - Legia Warsaw	2:2 ✺
21.06.25	Legia Warsaw - Wisła Płock	2:3 ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
24.05.25	Legia Warsaw - Stal Mielec	2:2 ✺
18.05.25	Cracovia - Legia Warsaw	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WTLTL
- FC Aktobe
Kazakh Premier League
05.07.25	Aktobe - Atyrau	2:0 ✺
29.06.25	Turan Turkistan - Aktobe	0:3 ✺
22.06.25	Aktobe - Astana	0:1 ✺
14.06.25	Kyzylzhar - Aktobe	1:1 ✺
30.05.25	Aktobe - Kairat	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 WWLTL

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa League
28.08.14	Legia Warsaw - Aktobe	2:0
21.08.14	Aktobe - Legia Warsaw	0:1

Upcoming Matches