Match Info

SPAIN: Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 17

Date: 14 December 2024, Saturday

Location: Campo Municipal de Urritxe (Amorebieta-Etxano)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	FEF TV


	Amorebieta		Barakaldo

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.2	2.05
	3.2	3.1	2.05
	3.3	3.3	2.1
	3.16	3.29	2.17
	3.13	3.3	2.15	Watch
	3.23	3.18	2.18
	3.3	3.3	2.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.2 ↓ (3.56)	3.24 ↓ (3.33)	2.11 ↑ (1.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Amorebieta
28.5%

Draw
28.2%

Barakaldo
43.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.8%

27.6%

46.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.3%

26.1%

44%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Amorebieta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Barakaldo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Amorebieta than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barakaldo than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Amorebieta - Barakaldo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Marino U. (G) 2. Carbonell A. 22. Yuste A. 23. Calavera J. 5. Amelibia J. 20. Coto E. 17. Munoz I. 19. Bravo Fernandez M. 14. Ben Hamed N. 7. Selma D. 9. Kaxe	13. Perez U. (G) 7. Pedernales I. 12. Artetxe M. 3. Garcia B. 10. Torre I. 5. Molina E. 8. Huidobro J. 11. Revilla A. 21. Uriarte K. 23. Bilbao L. 9. Sannadi M.
Substitutes
15. Aurtenetxe J. 10. Berto 13. Campos G. (G) 18. Coulibaly A. 11. Hervias P. 21. Marin A. 6. Nakai P. 27. Reka	22. Bujan U. 2. de Jesus B. 19. Isuskiza V. 20. Martinez J. 15. Muguruza A. 6. Naveira U. 18. Santiago P. 1. Tena J. (G) 14. Txoperena U. 17. Vicandi A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
28', 1 - 0, Selma D. (Pen),
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Uriarte K. ↓, de Jesus B. ↑,
52', 1 - 1, Revilla A. ⚽,
54', Kaxe 🟨,
63', Bilbao L. ↓, Santiago P. ↑,
64', Munoz I. ↓, Hervias P. ↑,
67', 2 - 1, Coto E. ⚽,
71', 2 - 2, Santiago P. ⚽,
78', Kaxe ↓, Reka ↑,
78', Selma D. ↓, Marin A. ↑,
78', Revilla A. ↓, Martinez J. ↑,
78', Huidobro J. ↓, Isuskiza V. ↑,
82', 🟨,
90+3', 🟨,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Amorebieta won 4.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Amorebieta could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Barakaldo will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 18 head-to-head matches Amorebieta won 7 matches, drawn 8 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 27:22 (average 1.5:1.2).

Including matches at home between the teams Amorebieta won 3 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 13:10 (average 1.4:1.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SD Amorebieta
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
06.12.24	Real Sociedad B - Amorebieta	2:0 ✺
30.11.24	Amorebieta - Sestao	2:0 ✺
24.11.24	Ponferradina - Amorebieta	5:2 ✺
17.11.24	Amorebieta - Barcelona B	2:1 ✺
10.11.24	Arenteiro - Amorebieta	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 LWLWT
- Barakaldo CF
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
08.12.24	Barakaldo - Leonesa	3:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
05.12.24	Barakaldo - Ferrol	1:2 ✺
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
30.11.24	Unionistas de Salamanca - Barakaldo	1:0 ✺
23.11.24	Sestao - Barakaldo	0:1 ✺
17.11.24	Barakaldo - Ponferradina	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
03.03.21	Barakaldo - Amorebieta	0:1
31.10.20	Amorebieta - Barakaldo	2:0
30.11.19	Amorebieta - Barakaldo	3:2
05.05.19	Barakaldo - Amorebieta	4:3
15.12.18	Amorebieta - Barakaldo	2:0
21.04.18	Amorebieta - Barakaldo	2:2
26.11.17	Barakaldo - Amorebieta	1:1

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