Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 32

Date: 12 April 2025, Saturday

Location: Lezama Facilities (Lezama)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	FEF TV


	Athletic Bilbao B		Amorebieta

	1	X	2
	1.48	3.8	6
	1.46	3.9	5.75
	1.48	4.1	6.2
	1.46	4.01	6.46
	1.44	4	7.23
	1.48	4.1	6.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↓ (1.56)	3.99 ↑ (3.76)	6.31 ↑ (5.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Athletic Bilbao B
62.5%

Draw
23%

Amorebieta
14.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.9%

24.4%

16.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.8%

22.3%

18.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Athletic Bilbao B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Amorebieta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Athletic Bilbao B than the current prediction. (-8.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Athletic Bilbao B that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Amorebieta than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

Athletic Bilbao B - Amorebieta Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Santos M. (G) 24. Louis-Jean J. 3. De Luis J. 22. Irurita X. 4. Dunabeitia A. 7. Varela I. 6. Rego A. 8. Gerenabarrena B. 16. Lete E. 23. Hierro A. 11. Olabarrieta A.	1. Marino U. (G) 20. Coto E. 22. Yuste A. 23. Calavera J. 4. Kortazar M. 17. Munoz I. 16. Masllorens J. 14. Ben Hamed N. 12. Sola J. 24. Perez E. 7. Selma D.
Substitutes
17. Aguilar Elizalde E. 19. Azkune E. 21. Bujan E. 5. Ebro Cortina E. 12. Elias J. 1. Gastesi O. (G) 29. Perez A. 38. Quintero I. 9. Sanz I.	40. Azkuna J. (G) 19. Bravo Fernandez M. 3. Camacho S. 2. Carbonell A. 18. Coulibaly A. 11. Hervias P. 9. Kaxe 25. Montoya J. (G) 8. Vicandi A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
23', 1 - 0, Lete E. ⚽, Gerenabarrena B. (A),
25', 🟨,
31', 1 - 1, Munoz I. ⚽,
34', 🟨,
40', 🟨,
40', 2 - 1, Olabarrieta A. (Pen),
43', Hierro A. 🟨,
43', 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Coto E. ↓, Hervias P. ↑,
46', Olabarrieta A. ↓, Aguilar Elizalde E. ↑,
46', Varela I. ↓, Sanz I. ↑,
65', Calavera J. ↓, Camacho S. ↑,
65', Sola J. ↓, Vicandi A. ↑,
66', Camacho S. 🟨,
70', Selma D. 🟨,
82', Perez E. ↓, Kaxe ↑,
82', Munoz I. ↓, Azkuna J. ↑,

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 9 and 20 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Athletic Bilbao B won 3.

Recent matches Athletic Bilbao B is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Amorebieta is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Athletic Bilbao B is absolute favorite.

Last 18 head-to-head matches Athletic Bilbao B won 8 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 35:22 (average 1.9:1.2).

Including matches at home between the teams Athletic Bilbao B won 5 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 21:7 (average 2.3:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Athletic Bilbao B
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
05.04.25	Barakaldo - Athletic Bilbao B	0:0 ✺
29.03.25	Tarazona - Athletic Bilbao B	1:1 ✺
21.03.25	Athletic Bilbao B - Barcelona B	2:2 ✺
15.03.25	Osasuna B - Athletic Bilbao B	1:1 ✺
08.03.25	Athletic Bilbao B - Gimnástica Segoviana	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 TTTTL
- SD Amorebieta
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
06.04.25	Amorebieta - Real Sociedad B	0:1 ✺
30.03.25	Gimnástica Segoviana - Amorebieta	1:1 ✺
23.03.25	Amorebieta - Osasuna B	1:1 ✺
16.03.25	Amorebieta - FC Andorra	1:1 ✺
08.03.25	Unionistas de Salamanca - Amorebieta	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LTTTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
04.10.24	Amorebieta - Athletic Bilbao B	0:2
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
27.05.23	Athletic Bilbao B - Amorebieta	0:0
16.10.22	Amorebieta - Athletic Bilbao B	3:0
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
06.02.21	Amorebieta - Athletic Bilbao B	2:3
07.11.20	Athletic Bilbao B - Amorebieta	2:1
29.02.20	Amorebieta - Athletic Bilbao B	2:1
12.10.19	Athletic Bilbao B - Amorebieta	3:3

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