The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Leiria 32%
Draw 29.7%
Marítimo 38.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
30%
29.6%
40.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
28.9%
30.7%
41.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Leiria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)
Marítimo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leiria than the current prediction. (-3.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marítimo than the current prediction. (+3.6%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
25%
50%
25%
Leiria - Marítimo Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Leiria will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Marítimo will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
DNB - Marítimo (1.70) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
AH 0 - Marítimo (1.70) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Marítimo (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
98. Joao Bravim (G) 68. Maga 44. Marcelo 16. Ze Pedro 3. Baro M. 21. Pires M. 41. Daniel Borges 19. Fernandez P. 10. van der Gaag J. 11. Jair da Silva 9. Munoz J. (C)
12. Samu (G) 2. Igor Juliao 5. Madsen N. 44. Correia R. (C) 23. Henrique P. 98. Ibrahima 14. Raphael Guzzo 10. Tejon M. 28. Carlos Daniel 21. Bouzaidi S. 3. Butzke A.
Substitutes
20. Gomes B. 8. Kouassi E. 17. Lucho Vega 88. Martins D. 99. Odehnal J. (G) 5. Rofino V. G. 78. Santos J. 15. Silva J. 52. Sylla H.
6. Andrade R. 90. Borukov P. 8. Cruz M. 25. Freitas A. 20. Gomes Aguiar F. T. 1. Pastor A. (G) 7. Pena Zauner E. 4. Santos Junior E. A. 17. Xavi Grande
Coaches
Pereira F.
Moita M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 2)
9', Marcelo 🟨,
22', van der Gaag J. 🟨,
24', 0 - 1, Butzke A. ⚽, Tejon M. (A),
31', 1 - 1, Ze Pedro ⚽, Fernandez P. (A),
36', Joao Bravim 🟨,
41', Bouzaidi S. (Penalty Awarded),
41', 1 - 2, Bouzaidi S. ⚽,
45', Daniel Borges 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
50', Henrique P. 🟨,
57', Marcelo ↓, Rofino V. G. ↑,
57', Pires M. ↓, Kouassi E. ↑,
66', Rofino V. G. 🟨,
73', Madsen N. 🟨,
79', Daniel Borges ↓, Martins D. ↑,
79', van der Gaag J. ↓, Santos J. ↑,
82', Tejon M. ↓, Gomes Aguiar F. T. ↑,
82', Carlos Daniel ↓, Xavi Grande ↑,
88', Ze Pedro ↓, Lucho Vega ↑,
90', Henrique P. ↓, Freitas A. ↑,
90', Butzke A. ↓, Borukov P. ↑,
90+2', Maga 🟨,
90+3', Igor Juliao ↓, Santos Junior E. A. ↑,
90+4', Samu 🟨,
Preview
One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 4 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Portugal).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leiria won 3.
Leiria is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
In recent matches, Marítimo has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Marítimo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Leiria won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:9. (average 1.9:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Leiria won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:4. (average 2.5:2).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
7
Leiria
6
3
1
2
10:7
3
10
Last Results with these Odds
Leiria - the odds 3.08 are the expected chance of winning is 30.04%, but this team recently wins 40% of matches with these odds.
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Joao Bravim (G) 
Maga 
Baro M. 
van der Gaag J. 
Madsen N. 
Ibrahima 
Bouzaidi S. 
Kouassi E. 
Lucho Vega 
Odehnal J. (G) 
Rofino V. G. 
Borukov P. 
Pena Zauner E. 
