The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Leiria 57.6%
Draw 24.4%
Paços de Ferreira 18%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
52.5%
26.6%
20.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
56.9%
28.8%
19.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Leiria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Leiria's performance.
Paços de Ferreira has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leiria than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paços de Ferreira than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
80%
10%
10%
Leiria - Paços de Ferreira Predictions
Users Predictions:
Leiria will win
(8 of 10 users predict this - 80%). Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
98. Joao Bravim (G) 52. Sylla H. 5. Rofino V. G. 16. Ze Pedro 3. Baro M. 19. Fernandez P. 8. Kouassi E. 41. Daniel Borges 11. Jair da Silva 86. Michel D. 9. Munoz J. (C)
1. Rafa (G) 21. Anilson 2. Cardoso G. 77. Rafael 5. Sousa A. 26. Cunha N. 88. Francisco Ramos (C) 11. Fale M. 8. Costa D. 13. Pinto J. 9. Victor J.
Substitutes
20. Gomes B. 18. Lottin A. 17. Lucho Vega 44. Marcelo 88. Martins D. 99. Odehnal J. (G) 21. Pires M. 78. Santos J. 15. Silva J.
38. Coelho G. 47. da Silva Moreira I. A. 15. Dias L. 3. Diegao 7. Diego Fernandes 12. Jeimes (G) 4. Kauan 22. Mota 19. Nito
Coaches
Pereira F.
Braga N.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
22', 1 - 0, Munoz J. (Penalty Awarded),
38', Kouassi E. ↓, Pires M. ↑,
39', Michel D. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
50', 2 - 0, Michel D. ⚽,
55', Victor J. ↓, da Silva Moreira I. A. ↑,
55', Anilson ↓, Mota ↑,
62', 🟨,
64', da Silva Moreira I. A. 🟨,
65', Costa D. ↓, Nito ↑,
65', Francisco Ramos ↓, Diego Fernandes ↑,
74', Michel D. ↓, Lottin A. ↑,
77', Sousa A. ↓, Dias L. ↑,
80', Jair da Silva ↓, Martins D. ↑,
80', Munoz J. ↓, Lucho Vega ↑,
80', Ze Pedro ↓, Marcelo ↑,
87', Nito 🟨,
Preview
This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 6 and 13).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leiria won 1.
Recent performances by Leiria have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Paços de Ferreira is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Leiria may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Leiria is seen as the favorite.
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Leiria won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 0.7:0.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Leiria won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.3:0.7).
Watch
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Joao Bravim (G) 
Sylla H. 
Rofino V. G. 
Ze Pedro 
Baro M. 
Michel D. 
Costa D. 
Lottin A. 
Lucho Vega 
Odehnal J. (G) 
