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Current Win Probability
Porto B 30.8%
Draw 29%
Sporting Lisbon B 40.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
31%
28%
40.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
32%
27.1%
39.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Porto B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
Sporting Lisbon B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Porto B than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sporting Lisbon B than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
22.2%
44.4%
33.3%
Porto B - Sporting Lisbon B Predictions
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Porto B will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Sporting B will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 11.9% – 76.9%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Sporting B (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
91. Ribeiro G. (G) 76. Rodrigues D. 64. Gomes L. 73. Bras G. (C) 80. Henrique Kaio 88. Andrade D. 56. Kaue Rodrigues 92. Teixeira J. 72. Miranda A. 79. Vonic L. 75. Karamoh Y.
99. Silva F. (G) 55. Silva J. 95. Taibo Dominguez L. 50. Dias R. 45. Moreira D. 73. Felicissimo E. 96. Justo S. 87. Cardoso P. 28. Ribeiro R. 88. Mendonca M. (C) 90. Nel R.
Substitutes
59. Andrade T. 94. Chelmik 51. Fernandes D. (G) 43. Melnichenko T. 89. Mide M. 68. Oliveira A. 54. Ribeiro A. 58. Silva T. 49. Sousa G.
67. Anjos L. 77. Besugo R. 78. Couto M. 59. Kaua Oliveira 74. Pires G. (G) 60. Rayan Lucas 49. Romulus 82. Silva G. 40. Tanlongo M.
Coaches
Brandao J.
Joao Giao
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
17', Andrade D. 🟨,
27', 0 - 1, Justo S. ⚽, Felicissimo E. (A),
29', Felicissimo E. 🟨,
38', Justo S. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Karamoh Y. ↓, Sousa G. ↑,
51', 1 - 1, Teixeira J. ⚽, Rodrigues D. (A),
51', Felicissimo E. ↓, Kaua Oliveira ↑,
55', 2 - 1, Sousa G. ⚽, Rodrigues D. (A),
67', Mendonca M. ↓, Anjos L. ↑,
67', Silva J. ↓, Couto M. ↑,
73', Teixeira J. ↓, Oliveira A. ↑,
74', Vonic L. ↓, Melnichenko T. ↑,
77', Kaua Oliveira 🟨,
78', Justo S. ↓, Besugo R. ↑,
79', Ribeiro R. ↓, Silva G. ↑,
84', Rodrigues D. ↓, Chelmik ↑,
85', Silva G. 🟨,
88', Andrade D. ↓, Silva T. ↑,
Preview
This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 16 in the zone Liga Portugal 2 (Relegation) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Portugal (Promotion: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Porto B won 2.
Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
Sporting B could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Porto B won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 16:18. (average 1.5:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Porto B won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:6. (average 1.8:1.2).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
3
Sporting CP B
6
4
0
2
8:6
2
12
17
FC Porto B
6
1
1
4
4:13
-9
4
Last Results with these Odds
Sporting Lisbon B - the odds 2.28 are the expected chance of winning is 40.95%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.
Portugal
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Ribeiro G. (G) 
Henrique Kaio 
Andrade D. 
Vonic L. 
Karamoh Y. 
Taibo Dominguez L. 
Moreira D. 
Melnichenko T. 
Tanlongo M. 
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