Match Info

Southern League Premier Central - Round 38

Date: 3 April 2026, Friday


	Bury Town		Worcester City

	1	X	2
	2.72	3.2	2.3
	2.87	3.19	2.36
	2.82	3.4	2.37	Watch
	2.7	3.1	2.3
	2.84	3.13	2.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.79 ↑ (2.62)	3.2 ↓ (3.45)	2.33 ↑ (2.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bury Town
32.6%

Draw
28.4%

Worcester City
39%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.3%

26.1%

39.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.1%

26%

39.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bury Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Worcester City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bury Town than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Worcester City than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Bury Town - Worcester City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
54', 0 - 1, Lockett L. ⚽,
87', 1 - 1, (Own goal),

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 13 and 8).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Bury Town won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.

Outrights of English Southern League Central Division for now

Bury Town: 3.59% Worcester: 0.39%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Bury Town	9	8	0	1	18:8	10	24
17	Worcester	9	1	4	4	7:12	-5	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bury Town
English Southern League Central Division
28.03.26	Harborough Town - Bury Town	2:2 ✺
21.03.26	Halesowen Town - Bury Town	3:1 ✺
14.03.26	Bury Town - Redditch United	1:1 ✺
07.03.26	Bury Town - Bishops Stortford	2:0 ✺
03.03.26	Bury Town - Quorn	4:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 TLTWT
- Worcester City
English Southern League Central Division
28.03.26	Worcester City - Needham Market	1:0 ✺
21.03.26	Leiston - Worcester City	1:0 ✺
17.03.26	Real Bedford - Worcester City	0:0 ✺
14.03.26	Worcester City - Barwell	2:1 ✺
07.03.26	Harborough Town - Worcester City	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WLTWL

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League Central Division
23.08.25	Worcester City - Bury Town	2:2

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