Match Info

PORTUGAL: LEAGUE CUP - ROUND 1

Date: 27 September 2023, Wednesday

Location: Estádio do Mar (Matosinhos)

Referee: Carvalho H. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sport TV3


	Leixões		Estoril Praia

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.4	3.25	2.1	Watch
	3.4	3.3	2.15	Watch
	3.42	3.42	2.17
	3.3	3.1	2.1
	3.42	3.38	2.11	Watch
	3.25	3.25	2.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.37 ↑ (2.9)	3.28 ↑ (3)	2.13 ↓ (2.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leixões
27.7%

Draw
28.4%

Estoril Praia
43.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.3%

30.2%

38.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.2%

29.1%

39.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leixões has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

Estoril Praia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Estoril Praia's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leixões than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Estoril Praia than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

Leixões - Estoril Praia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
87. Ribeiro R. (G) 61. Amorim Gomes J. F. 4. Leo Bolgado 92. Rafael 10. Paulite 25. Wakaso A. 27. Fabinho (C) 8. Freitas R. 23. Henrique Gelain 44. Avto 84. Adriano Amorim	31. Marcelo Carne (G) 5. Volnei Feltes 3. Vital B. 23. Alvaro P. 78. Araujo T. 21. Gomes R. 83. Koindredi K. 82. Fernandes M. 91. Heriberto Tavares 9. Marques A. 11. Cassiano (C)
Substitutes
99. Bright 7. Conceicao M. 43. Danrlei 88. Magalhaes A. 1. Moura R. (G) 45. Rafael 80. Renato Luis 16. Simoes A. 13. Zagbayou H.	10. Guitane R. 20. Joao Carlos 99. Leite D. (G) 33. Marques J. 7. Martins R. 2. Parra R. 28. Pavlic I. 6. Soares A. 17. Sy H.
Coaches
Ribeiro P.	Seabra V.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Leixões won 2.

Recent matches Leixões is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Estoril is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Estoril will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Leixões won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Leixões won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leixões SC
Taça de Portugal
23.09.23	São João de Ver - Leixões	0:1 ✺
Portuguese Liga 2
15.09.23	Paços de Ferreira - Leixões	1:2 ✺
03.09.23	Leixões - Benfica B	1:1 ✺
28.08.23	Nacional - Leixões	3:1 ✺
21.08.23	Leixões - Santa Clara	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 WWTLT
- Estoril Praia
Liga Portugal
23.09.23	Estoril Praia - Vizela	2:2 ✺
17.09.23	Gil Vicente - Estoril Praia	5:3 ✺
03.09.23	Estoril Praia - Boavista	1:2 ✺
25.08.23	Estrela da Amadora - Estoril Praia	2:1 ✺
20.08.23	Estoril Praia - Rio Ave	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 TLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
21.02.21	Leixões - Estoril Praia	0:1
28.09.20	Estoril Praia - Leixões	1:0
30.11.19	Estoril Praia - Leixões	1:1
03.02.19	Leixões - Estoril Praia	2:0
26.08.18	Estoril Praia - Leixões	1:2
Taça de Portugal
04.01.14	Leixões - Estoril Praia	1:5

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