Match Info

PORTUGAL: LIGA PORTUGAL 2 - ROUND 15

Date: 5 January 2023, Thursday

Location: Estádio do Mar (Matosinhos)

Referee: Brazao M. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sport TV


	Leixões		Moreirense

	1	X	2
	2.9	3.25	2.25	Watch
	2.9	3.1	2.2
	3	2.9	2.35
	3.05	3.2	2.28
	3.25	3.22	2.41
	3	3	2.25
	2.95	3.28	2.26
	3	3.15	2.24
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.01 ↑ (2.88)	3.14 ↑ (3.1)	2.28 ↓ (2.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leixões
30.5%

Draw
29.2%

Moreirense
40.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.4%

29.2%

39.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.2%

29.1%

39.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leixões has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Moreirense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leixões than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Moreirense than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
29.4%	32.4%	38.2%

Leixões - Moreirense Predictions

Users Predictions: 34 users predict this event. Leixões will win (votes: 10 - 29.4%). Moreirense will win (votes: 13 - 38.2%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 32.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Moreirense: 21.9% – 54.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 9 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Portugal).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Moreirense could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Moreirense have a series of home games.

Moreirense will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Leixões won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Leixões won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leixões SC
Portuguese Liga 2
29.12.22	BSAD - Leixões	2:0 ✺
Portuguese League Cup
16.12.22	Feirense - Leixões	2:1 ✺
04.12.22	Arouca - Leixões	1:1 ✺
23.11.22	Leixões - Santa Clara	2:1 ✺
19.11.22	Leixões - Oliveirense	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 LLTWW
- Moreirense FC
Portuguese Liga 2
31.12.22	Moreirense - Estrela da Amadora	0:0 ✺
Portuguese League Cup
22.12.22	Moreirense - Arouca	1:2 ✺
17.12.22	Moreirense - Benfica	1:1 ✺
27.11.22	Moreirense - Estrela da Amadora	4:2 ✺
17.11.22	Penafiel - Moreirense	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 TLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
06.04.14	Moreirense - Leixões	2:0
24.11.13	Leixões - Moreirense	1:1

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