Match Info

PORTUGAL: Liga Portugal 2 - Round 23

Date: 23 February 2025, Sunday

Location: Estádio do Mar (Matosinhos)

Referee: Vasilica I. (Por)


	Leixões		Alverca

	1	X	2
	2.7	3	2.55
	2.7	2.8	2.6
	2.92	3	2.76
	2.85	2.9	2.71	Watch
	2.8	2.8	2.62
	2.83	2.95	2.65
	2.7	2.8	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.79 ↑ (2.64)	2.89 ↑ (2.86)	2.64 ↓ (2.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leixões
33.1%

Draw
31.9%

Alverca
34.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.9%

32.2%

33%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36%

33.2%

32%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leixões has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Alverca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leixões than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alverca than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	50%	25%

Leixões - Alverca Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Leixões will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). Alverca will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 45.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 16.1% – 74.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
24. Figueira Daniel (G) 12. Jean Felipe 3. Rafael Santos 14. Basto H. 15. Simaozinho 27. Fabinho (C) 30. Seruca A. 8. Fabricio Isidoro 77. Ndo R. 29. Bica 7. Werton	98. Joao Bravim (G) 22. David Bruno 3. Alysson 5. Varela F. 74. Shinga K. 35. Pedro Bicalho (C) 16. Pires M. 88. Martins D. 7. Brenner 10. Andrezinho 18. Eduardo W.
Substitutes
18. Alhassan I. 61. Amorim J. 13. Evrard Zag 23. Henrique Gelain 99. Kibe 22. Lobo G. 10. Paulite 51. Stefanovic I. (G) 2. Thiago Balieiro	40. Ageu E. 20. Bukia A. 9. Carter A. 1. Cristian (G) 25. Dias R. 89. Joao Marcos 4. Mendonca I. 12. Reinaldo 36. Thauan Lara
Coaches
Mota J.	Costa V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
12', 1 - 0, Bica ⚽, Jean Felipe (A),
31', Bica 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Shinga K. ↓, Ageu E. ↑,
46', Eduardo W. ↓, Carter A. ↑,
51', 1 - 1, Varela F. ⚽, Ageu E. (A),
63', Fabinho ↓, Evrard Zag ↑,
63', Ndo R. ↓, Paulite ↑,
70', Rafael Santos 🟨,
76', Bica ↓, Kibe ↑,
77', Brenner ↓, Thauan Lara ↑,
77', Martins D. ↓, Bukia A. ↑,
83', Pedro Bicalho ↓, Dias R. ↑,
83', Fabricio Isidoro ↓, Henrique Gelain ↑,
83', Werton ↓, Lobo G. ↑,
88', Paulite 🟨,
90+2', Lobo G. 🟨,

Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 13 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Portugal (Promotion: )).

Leixões is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Alverca is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Alverca could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Leixões won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leixões SC
Portuguese Liga 2
16.02.25	Vizela - Leixões	0:0 ✺
08.02.25	Leixões - Oliveirense	1:2 ✺
31.01.25	Paços de Ferreira - Leixões	0:0 ✺
25.01.25	Leixões - Chaves	0:0 ✺
17.01.25	Benfica B - Leixões	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 TLTTL
- FC Alverca
Portuguese Liga 2
16.02.25	Alverca - Marítimo	5:0 ✺
09.02.25	Académico de Viseu - Alverca	2:2 ✺
02.02.25	Alverca - Leiria	2:1 ✺
25.01.25	Felgueiras - Alverca	0:1 ✺
18.01.25	Alverca - Porto B	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.2 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
29.09.24	Alverca - Leixões	1:1

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