Match Info

PORTUGAL: Liga Portugal 2 - Round 18

Date: 18 January 2025, Saturday

Location: FC Alverca Sports Complex (Alverca do Ribatejo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sport TV1


	Alverca		Porto B

	1	X	2
	2	3.4	3.7
	1.9	3.25	3.5
	2	3.4	3.6	Watch
	2.01	3.31	3.77	Watch
	2	3.2	3.5
	2.02	3.44	3.58	Watch
	2	3.4	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↑ (1.9)	3.34 ↓ (3.54)	3.61 ↓ (3.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Alverca
46.6%

Draw
27.7%

Porto B
25.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.1%

26.3%

24.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.5%

25.1%

23.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alverca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Porto B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alverca than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Porto B than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	14.3%	0%

Alverca - Porto B Predictions

Users Predictions: Alverca will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
98. Joao Bravim (G) 22. David Bruno 13. Paulo Eduardo 5. Varela F. 74. Shinga K. 35. Pedro Bicalho (C) 40. Ageu E. 88. Martins D. 7. Brenner Lucas 9. Carter A. 10. Andrezinho	91. Ribeiro G. (G) 76. Rodrigues D. 54. Ribeiro A. (C) 44. Felipe Silva 80. Henrique Kaio 88. Andrade D. 68. Oliveira A. 98. Abraham M. 92. Teixeira J. 47. Alarcon A. 95. Cande A.
Substitutes
30. Bukia A. 1. Cristian (G) 25. Dias R. 18. Eduardo W. 4. Mendonca I. 8. Pinto G. 16. Pires M. 12. Reinaldo 36. Thauan Lara	59. Andrade T. 2. Castro 57. de Sousa Dias Pedro Lopes A. F. 51. Fernandes D. (G) 62. Fernandes R. 64. Gomes L. 43. Melnichenko T. 96. Sousa F. 49. Sousa G.
Coaches
Costa V.	Brandao J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
14', Varela F. 🟨,
18', Martins D. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', David Bruno ↓, Pires M. ↑,
46', Oliveira A. 🟨,
55', Carter A. 🟨,
67', Cande A. ↓, Melnichenko T. ↑,
67', Teixeira J. ↓, Fernandes R. ↑,
70', 1 - 0, Ageu E. ⚽, Carter A. (A),
73', Ageu E. ↓, Dias R. ↑,
76', Oliveira A. ↓, Sousa G. ↑,
76', Rodrigues D. ↓, Andrade T. ↑,
83', Henrique Kaio ↓, de Sousa Dias Pedro Lopes A. F. ↑,
84', Martins D. ↓, Eduardo W. ↑,
87', Brenner Lucas ↓, Reinaldo ↑,
90+3', Ribeiro A. 🟨,
90+5', Andrade T. 🟨,
90+7', 2 - 0, Eduardo W. ⚽, Andrezinho (A),

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 8 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga 3).

Alverca is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Porto B has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Alverca will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Alverca won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Alverca
Portuguese Liga 2
12.01.25	Alverca - Tondela	1:1 ✺
04.01.25	Portimonense - Alverca	1:0 ✺
22.12.24	Paços de Ferreira - Alverca	1:3 ✺
14.12.24	Alverca - Chaves	3:1 ✺
08.12.24	Oliveirense - Alverca	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.2 TLWWW
- Porto B
Portuguese Liga 2
12.01.25	Porto B - Portimonense	1:2 ✺
06.01.25	Benfica B - Porto B	2:1 ✺
21.12.24	Vizela - Porto B	2:1 ✺
15.12.24	Porto B - Feirense	0:0 ✺
08.12.24	Chaves - Porto B	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
11.08.24	Porto B - Alverca	1:1

Upcoming Matches