Match Info

PORTUGAL: Liga Portugal 2 - Round 20

Date: 2 February 2025, Sunday

Location: FC Alverca Sports Complex (Alverca do Ribatejo)

Referee: Jesus F. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sport TV1


	Alverca		Leiria

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.2	3.2
	2.2	3	2.9
	2.3	3.1	3.2	Watch
	2.36	3.19	3.32
	2.31	3.12	3.2	Watch
	2.25	3	3
	2.28	3.24	3.15
	2.3	3.1	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.28 (2.28)	3.12 ↓ (3.15)	3.15 ↓ (3.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Alverca
40.7%

Draw
29.8%

Leiria
29.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41%

29.7%

29.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.4%

29.4%

29%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alverca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Leiria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alverca than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leiria than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	40%	60%

Alverca - Leiria Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Leiria will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
98. Joao Bravim (G) 40. Ageu E. 3. Alysson 10. Andrezinho 7. Brenner 9. Carter A. 88. Martins D. 13. Paulo Eduardo 35. Pedro Bicalho (C) 16. Pires M. 74. Shinga K.	1. Kieszek P. (C) 27. Alisson Santos 3. Baro M. 4. Bura 42. D'Avilla D. 23. Ferreira T. 26. Resende J. 7. Ryan Guilherme 28. Singh S. 52. Sylla H. 10. van der Gaag J.
Substitutes
20. Bukia A. 1. Cristian (G) 22. David Bruno 25. Dias R. 4. Mendonca I. 12. Reinaldo 8. Rosa Alves C. 36. Thauan Lara 6. Velazquez S.	25. Amado D. 99. dos Anjos D. 29. Ferreira F. (G) 15. Kaka 9. Munoz J. 18. Ribeiro C. 5. Rofino V. G. 11. Silva J. 14. Ze Vitor
Coaches
Costa V.	Silas

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
25', 1 - 0, Brenner ⚽, Martins D. (A),
29', Bura ↓, Rofino V. G. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
60', Singh S. ↓, Munoz J. ↑,
60', van der Gaag J. ↓, Silva J. ↑,
60', D'Avilla D. ↓, Ribeiro C. ↑,
65', Ferreira T. 🟨,
68', Pedro Bicalho ↓, Dias R. ↑,
68', Brenner ↓, Bukia A. ↑,
69', Baro M. ↓, dos Anjos D. ↑,
71', Ryan Guilherme 🟨,
79', Andrezinho ↓, Reinaldo ↑,
83', 2 - 0, Carter A. ⚽, Martins D. (A),
85', Martins D. ↓, Mendonca I. ↑,
89', 2 - 1, dos Anjos D. ⚽, Ryan Guilherme (A),

Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 5 and 9).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Alverca won 1.

Instantly two teams are in a excellent shape.

Alverca could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Alverca will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Alverca won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 10:13 (average 1:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Alverca won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4:4 (average 0.8:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Alverca
Portuguese Liga 2
25.01.25	Felgueiras - Alverca	0:1 ✺
18.01.25	Alverca - Porto B	2:0 ✺
12.01.25	Alverca - Tondela	1:1 ✺
04.01.25	Portimonense - Alverca	1:0 ✺
22.12.24	Paços de Ferreira - Alverca	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.3 WWTLW
- UD Leiria
Portuguese Liga 2
26.01.25	Leiria - Portimonense	1:0 ✺
19.01.25	Vizela - Leiria	1:0 ✺
12.01.25	Leiria - Chaves	1:1 ✺
04.01.25	Tondela - Leiria	1:4 ✺
22.12.24	Oliveirense - Leiria	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 WLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
23.08.24	Leiria - Alverca	1:1
Portuguese Liga 3
22.04.23	Alverca - Leiria	1:2
02.04.23	Leiria - Alverca	3:1
08.01.23	Leiria - Alverca	1:2
27.08.22	Alverca - Leiria	0:1
Portuguese Liga 2
15.05.22	Leiria - Alverca	1:2
07.05.22	Alverca - Leiria	1:1

Upcoming Matches