Match Info

PORTUGAL: LIGA PORTUGAL 2 - ROUND 27

Date: 8 April 2023, Saturday

Location: Benfica Campus (Seixal)

Referee: Nogueira M. (Por)


	Benfica B		BSAD

	1	X	2
	2	3.5	3.2
	1.95	3.4	3.25
	2.02	3.4	3.2
	2.12	3.66	3.46
	2	3.25	3.3
	2.04	3.46	3.38
	2.04	3.45	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.02 ↑ (1.91)	3.45 ↑ (3.4)	3.28 ↓ (3.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Benfica B
45.4%

Draw
26.7%

BSAD
28%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.7%

26.2%

27%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.7%

22.8%

31%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Benfica B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

BSAD has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Benfica B than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for BSAD than the current prediction. (+3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
58.3%	33.3%	8.3%

Benfica B - BSAD Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Benfica B will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%). BSAD will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Benfica B: 30.4% – 86.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 12 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga 3).

Recent matches Benfica B is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

BSAD is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Benfica B will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Benfica B won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8-0.

Including matches at home between the teams Benfica B won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Benfica B
Portuguese Liga 2
01.04.23	Mafra - Benfica B	1:1 ✺
19.03.23	Benfica B - Oliveirense	2:0 ✺
12.03.23	Covilhã - Benfica B	2:1 ✺
04.03.23	Benfica B - Vilafranquense	0:2 ✺
25.02.23	Leixões - Benfica B	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 TWLLT
- BSAD
Portuguese Liga 2
02.04.23	BSAD - Torreense	1:3 ✺
19.03.23	Farense - BSAD	4:0 ✺
12.03.23	BSAD - Tondela	0:2 ✺
05.03.23	Feirense - BSAD	0:1 ✺
26.02.23	BSAD - Nacional	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
22.10.22	BSAD - Benfica B	0:2
27.08.12	Benfica B - BSAD	6:0

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