Match Info

PORTUGAL: LIGA PORTUGAL 2 - ROUND 26

Date: 2 April 2023, Sunday

Location: Estádio Nacional do Jamor (Lisbon - Oeiras)

Referee: Oliveira M. (Por)


	BSAD		Torreense

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.1	2.45
	2.7	2.95	2.45
	2.7	3	2.55
	2.87	3.14	2.74
	2.7	2.9	2.55
	2.73	3.16	2.55
	2.7	3.1	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.71 ↓ (3.06)	3.05 ↓ (3.18)	2.54 ↑ (2.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

BSAD
33.9%

Draw
30.1%

Torreense
36.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.5%

29.4%

40.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.6%

28.5%

41.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

BSAD has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Torreense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for BSAD than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Torreense than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Torreense could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.1%	22.2%	66.7%

BSAD - Torreense Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. BSAD will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Torreense will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Torreense: 35.9% – 97.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga 3 and 10).

BSAD is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Torreense is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Torreense could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches BSAD won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- BSAD
Portuguese Liga 2
19.03.23	Farense - BSAD	4:0 ✺
12.03.23	BSAD - Tondela	0:2 ✺
05.03.23	Feirense - BSAD	0:1 ✺
26.02.23	BSAD - Nacional	0:1 ✺
19.02.23	Moreirense - BSAD	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LLWLL
- SCU Torreense
Portuguese Liga 2
18.03.23	Estrela da Amadora - Torreense	1:0 ✺
11.03.23	Torreense - Porto B	3:0 ✺
04.03.23	Tondela - Torreense	1:1 ✺
25.02.23	Torreense - Académico de Viseu	1:2 ✺
19.02.23	Benfica B - Torreense	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 LWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
18.10.22	Torreense - BSAD	0:1

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