Match Info
Liga Portugal 2 - Round 18Date: 17 January 2026, SaturdayLocation: Stadion Dr. Machado de Matos (Felgueiras)Referee: Rodrigues J. (Por)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 Portugal | Sport TV2 |
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Felgueiras |
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Leixões |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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1.53 |
3.6 |
5.5 |
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 |
1.55 |
3.85 |
5.5 |
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1.51 |
4.14 |
6.3 |
 Watch |
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1.53 |
3.5 |
5.5 |
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1.59 |
3.74 |
5.72 |
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1.53 |
3.8 |
6 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.54 ↓
(1.69) |
3.77 ↓
(3.79) |
5.75 ↑
(4.65) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
- The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Felgueiras
59.7% | Draw
24.4% | Leixões
16% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Felgueiras has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)Leixões has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Felgueiras than the current prediction. (-2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leixões than the current prediction. (+3.3%)Felgueiras - Leixões Predictions
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Felgueiras will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). Leixões will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Felgueiras: 16.1% – 74.9%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Felgueiras (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
25.  Felipe Scheibig (G)
61.  Eiro
33. Dario
34. Silva A.
5. Rosas P.
18. Gabi
6. Martins H.
8. Landinho (C)
79. Leite T.
19. Lucas Duarte
20.  Berna
| 51.  Stefanovic I. (C)
3. Figueiredo L.
5. Naldo
63. Faria H.
77. Paulinho
66.  Balde A.
22. Araujo C.
15. Simaozinho
35.  Rochez B.
9. Bica
10. Paulite
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| Substitutes |
45.  Aidara M.
77. Beni
73.  Bursac N. (G)
17. Cruz F.
4. Dudu Cruz
30. Feliz
10. Michel Costa
3. Pinto J.
7.  Rivas M.
| 12. Assuncao J.
13. Evrard Zag
18.  Kanuric B.
1. Morro M. (G)
8. Neto
94. Rajani M.
30. Serif N.
91. Valente R.
7. Werton
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| Coaches |
Bento A.
| Fangueiro C.
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 1', Figueiredo L. 🟨,
- 21', 0 - 1, Paulite ⚽, Faria H. (A),
- 39', Naldo 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 57', Dario 🟨,
- 61', Gabi 🟥,
- 66', Eiro ↓, Cruz F. ↑,
- 67', Berna ↓, Michel Costa ↑,
- 73', Paulite ↓, Werton ↑,
- 74', Bica 🟨,
- 74', Bica ↓, Valente R. ↑,
- 79', Leite T. ↓, Rivas M. ↑,
- 82', Araujo C. 🟨,
- 84', Landinho ↓, Beni ↑,
- 87', Araujo C. ↓, Evrard Zag ↑,
- 90+3', Michel Costa 🟨,
- 90+4', Balde A. ↓, Kanuric B. ↑,
- 90+4', Simaozinho ↓, Serif N. ↑,
Preview
A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 9 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga 3).Felgueiras is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).Leixões is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).Felgueiras may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. In this match, Felgueiras is a strong favorite.In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Felgueiras won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:6. (average 1.5:1.5).Including home match between the teams, Felgueiras won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:0.
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 8 | Leixoes | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8:6 | 2 | 10 |
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| 13 | Felgueiras | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5:6 | -1 | 6 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Portuguese Liga 2 | | | 10.08.25 | Leixões - Felgueiras | 3:0 | | 18.04.25 | Felgueiras - Leixões | 4:0 | | 07.12.24 | Leixões - Felgueiras | 2:2 | | Taça de Portugal | | | 19.10.13 | Leixões - Felgueiras | 1:0 |
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Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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