Match Info

MEXICO: LIGA DE EXPANSION MX - CLAUSURA - ROUND 16

Date: 13 April 2023, Thursday

Location: Estadio Jalisco (Guadalajara)

Referee: Meza Méndez Á. (Mex)


	Leones Negros UdeG		Raya2 Expansión

	1	X	2
	1.88	3.4	3.3
	1.9	3.4	3.75
	1.96	3.67	3.78
	1.92	3.65	3.56
	1.87	3.65	3.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↑ (1.79)	3.55 ↓ (3.67)	3.59 ↓ (4.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leones Negros UdeG
48.4%

Draw
25.9%

Raya2 Expansión
25.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.9%

25.8%

21.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.2%

25.7%

21.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leones Negros UdeG has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

Raya2 Expansión has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leones Negros UdeG than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Raya2 Expansión than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	16.7%	16.7%

Leones Negros UdeG - Raya2 Expansión Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Leones Negros UdeG will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Raya2 Expansión will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

Recent matches Leones Negros UdeG is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Raya2 Expansión is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Raya2 Expansión could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Leones Negros UdeG is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Leones Negros UdeG won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Including matches at home between the teams Leones Negros UdeG won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leones Negros UdeG
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
04.04.23	Venados - Leones Negros UdeG	1:1 ✺
31.03.23	Leones Negros UdeG - Tlaxcala	3:0 ✺
26.03.23	Atlante - Leones Negros UdeG	0:0 ✺
23.03.23	Leones Negros UdeG - Atlético Morelia	0:1 ✺
15.03.23	Alebrijes de Oaxaca - Leones Negros UdeG	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 TWTLT
- Raya2 Expansión
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
04.04.23	Raya2 Expansión - Alacranes de Durango	1:1 ✺
29.03.23	Raya2 Expansión - Dorados	1:2 ✺
25.03.23	Pumas Tabasco - Raya2 Expansión	1:3 ✺
22.03.23	Raya2 Expansión - Correcaminos UAT	0:4 ✺
15.03.23	Atlético Morelia - Raya2 Expansión	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 TLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
20.09.22	Raya2 Expansión - Leones Negros UdeG	0:1
23.03.22	Leones Negros UdeG - Raya2 Expansión	0:0
19.10.21	Raya2 Expansión - Leones Negros UdeG	0:1

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