Match Info

SPAIN: PRIMERA RFEF - GROUP 1 - ROUND 26

Date: 4 March 2023, Saturday

Location: Estadio Reino de León (León)


	Leonesa		Alcorcón

	1	X	2
	2.8	2.88	2.45
	2.8	2.9	2.35
	2.85	3	2.45
	3.1	3	2.45
	3.06	3.05	2.38
	2.9	2.95	2.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.92 ↑ (2.52)	2.96 ↑ (2.8)	2.41 ↓ (2.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Leonesa
31.3%

Draw
30.8%

Alcorcón
37.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.3%

32.7%

31%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.5%

31.7%

30%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leonesa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

Alcorcón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Alcorcón's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leonesa than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Leonesa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alcorcón than the current prediction. (-7.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alcorcón, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Leonesa - Alcorcón Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 8 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2).

Leonesa is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Alcorcón is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Leonesa won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Leonesa won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
26.02.23	Córdoba - Leonesa	2:0 ✺
19.02.23	Leonesa - Algeciras	0:1 ✺
11.02.23	Pontevedra - Leonesa	1:0 ✺
05.02.23	Leonesa - Ferrol	0:0 ✺
28.01.23	Fuenlabrada - Leonesa	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LLLTT
- AD Alcorcón
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
26.02.23	Alcorcón - Unionistas de Salamanca	2:0 ✺
18.02.23	Celta de Vigo B - Alcorcón	1:0 ✺
11.02.23	Alcorcón - Talavera de la Reina	1:0 ✺
05.02.23	Real Madrid Castilla - Alcorcón	1:1 ✺
29.01.23	Alcorcón - Linense	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WLWTT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
16.10.22	Alcorcón - Leonesa	2:0
Spanish LaLiga2
04.05.18	Alcorcón - Leonesa	0:0
03.12.17	Leonesa - Alcorcón	2:2
Spanish Copa del Rey
07.09.17	Alcorcón - Leonesa	2:4

Upcoming Matches