Match Info

LaLiga2 - Round 26

Date: 14 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Reino de León (León)

Referee: Gonzalez Esteban J. A. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DAZN, DirecTV Sports
Asia	beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1
Australia	beIN Connect
Bolivia	DAZN
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 1
Chile	DirecTV Sports
Croatia	Arena Sport 7, MAXtv To Go
Ecuador	DAZN, DirecTV Sports
India	FanCode, FanCode
Indonesia	beIN Connect, Vidio
Malaysia	beIN SPORTS MAX
Mexico	Izzi TV, Sky Sport
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-central-america	DirecTV Sports Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
Paraguay	DAZN
Peru	DirecTV Sports
Philippines	beIN SPORTS MAX
Portugal	DAZN / App
Romania	Prima Sport PPV 3
Singapore	beIN SPORTS MAX
South-america	DGO Latin America
Spain	Aragon TV, DAZN Espana, Gol Play, GolStadium, LaLiga Hypermotion, Movistar Plus+
Thailand	beIN SPORTS MAX
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 5, MEGOGO Ukraine
Uruguay	DAZN, DirecTV Sports
Venezuela	DAZN, DirecTV Sports, Inter


	Leonesa		Zaragoza

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.25	3.4	Watch
	2.18	3.05	3.3	Watch
	2.25	3.18	3.65
	2.21	3.19	3.5	Watch
	2.15	3	3.4
	2.24	3.17	3.56	Watch
	2.2	3	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.19 ↓ (2.22)	3.12 ↓ (3.31)	3.49 ↑ (3.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leonesa
42.9%

Draw
30.1%

Zaragoza
27%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42%

28.2%

29.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42%

28.2%

29.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leonesa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Zaragoza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leonesa than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zaragoza than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
23.1%	53.8%	23.1%

Leonesa - Zaragoza Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Leonesa will win (votes: 3 - 23.1%). Zaragoza will win (votes: 3 - 23.1%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 53.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 26.7% – 80.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Zaragoza (votes: 1 - 20%). Tie (votes: 4 - 80%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Badia E. (G) 24. Garcia V. 4. Rodri Suarez (C) 36. Barzic M. 3. Satrustegui E. 17. Calero I. 6. Maestre S. 14. Bicho 20. Tresaco R. 10. Chacon L. 19. Sobrino R.	1. Andrada E. (G) 20. Aguirregabiria M. 36. Gomes A. 4. Insua P. 27. Larios J. 26. Mensah M. 24. Akouokou P. 11. Gonzalez R. 14. Francho (C) 25. Cumic N. 9. Gomez D.
Substitutes
12. Al Amin H. 1. Banuz M. (G) 7. Collado D. 23. Diallo Selu M. 5. Fornos Q. 8. Gonzalez Y. 9. Justo M. 11. Moreno V. 28. Ojeda T. 15. Ribeiro L. 16. Ribeiro T. 2. Rodriguez P.	22. Agada W. 32. Barrachina H. 23. Cuenca M. A. 17. Moyano F. 13. Rodriguez A. (G) 33. Saidu Y. 2. Sebastian J. 7. Soberon M. 5. Tachi 3. Tasende D. 34. Terrer L. 21. Valery
Coaches
Ziganda C.	Selles R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
27', Gonzalez R. 🟨,
36', Sobrino R. (Penalty Awarded),
44', Maestre S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
60', Mensah M. ↓, Terrer L. ↑,
60', Cumic N. ↓, Soberon M. ↑,
60', Gomez D. ↓, Cuenca M. A. ↑,
60', Tresaco R. ↓, Ribeiro L. ↑,
60', Sobrino R. ↓, Collado D. ↑,
70', Maestre S. ↓, Diallo Selu M. ↑,
77', Larios J. 🟨,
78', Larios J. ↓, Tasende D. ↑,
80', Insua P. 🟨,
81', Insua P. ↓, Saidu Y. ↑,
85', Calero I. ↓, Al Amin H. ↑,
85', Bicho ↓, Ojeda T. ↑,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 21 in the zone Relegation).

Leonesa has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Zaragoza has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

There will not play in Leonesa: Hinojo R. (Yellow Cards)

There will not play in Zaragoza: Bakis S. (Muscle Injury) Bare K. (Injury) Carbonell L. (Knee Injury) El Yamiq J. (Red Card) Guti R. (Injury) Insua P. (Injury) Kodro K. (Injury) Pomares C. (Injury) de la Fuente P. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Leonesa: Diallo Selu M. (Injury)

There are questionable in Zaragoza: Cumic N. (Injury)

We predict that Zaragoza will win today's game, with odds of 3.13.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Leonesa won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:1. (average 1.7:0.3).

Including home match between the teams, Leonesa won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Last Results with these Odds

Leonesa - the odds 2.22 are the expected chance of winning is 42%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa
Spanish LaLiga2
08.02.26	Málaga - Leonesa	2:1 ✺
31.01.26	Leonesa - Deportivo A Coruña	0:1 ✺
26.01.26	Ceuta - Leonesa	3:1 ✺
17.01.26	Leonesa - Sporting de Gijón	2:4 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
13.01.26	Leonesa - Athletic Bilbao	3:4 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Real Zaragoza
Spanish LaLiga2
07.02.26	Zaragoza - Eibar	1:1 ✺
31.01.26	Albacete Balompié - Zaragoza	2:0 ✺
25.01.26	Zaragoza - Castellón	0:0 ✺
17.01.26	Zaragoza - Real Sociedad B	1:1 ✺
10.01.26	Racing Santander - Zaragoza	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.2 TLTTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
18.10.25	Zaragoza - Leonesa	0:5
31.03.18	Leonesa - Zaragoza	0:1
27.10.17	Zaragoza - Leonesa	0:0

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