Match Info

LaLiga2 - Round 19

Date: 20 December 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio de Gran Canaria (Las Palmas)

Referee: Orellana M. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DirecTV Sports, DSports 6
Chile	DirecTV Sports
Ecuador	DirecTV Sports, DSports 6
Mexico	Sky Sport
North-central-america	DirecTV Sports Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
Peru	DirecTV Sports
South-america	DGO Latin America
Spain	DAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion, LaLiga TV Bar 2
Uruguay	DirecTV Sports, DSports 6
Venezuela	DirecTV Sports, Inter


	Las Palmas		Leonesa

	1	X	2
	1.56	3.6	6.25	Watch
	1.58	3.6	5.7	Watch
	1.61	3.9	6.24
	1.62	3.79	5.86	Watch
	1.62	3.5	5.5
	1.66	3.73	5.87	Watch
	1.55	3.8	6.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↓ (1.71)	3.7 ↑ (3.48)	5.96 ↑ (5.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Las Palmas
58.8%

Draw
25.4%

Leonesa
15.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.7%

26.8%

18.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.3%

26.5%

18.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Las Palmas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

Leonesa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Las Palmas than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leonesa than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
55.6%	0%	44.4%

Las Palmas - Leonesa Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Las Palmas will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Leonesa will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Las Palmas: 23.1% – 88.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Las Palmas (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Leonesa (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Horkas D. (G) 17. Viti 6. Sergio Barcia 3. Marmol M. 5. Clemente E. 14. Fuster M. 12. Loiodice E. 16. Amatucci L. 24. Pejino 21. Viera J. (C) 10. Jese	13. Badia E. (G) 24. Garcia V. 36. Barzic M. 16. Ribeiro T. 21. Hinojo R. 23. Diallo Selu M. 28. Ojeda T. 15. Ribeiro L. 10. Chacon L. 20. Tresaco R. 9. Justo M. (C)
Substitutes
4. Alex Suarez 29. Arvelo A. 13. Caro J. (G) 18. Cedeno E. 8. Gil I. 26. Gonzalez I. 23. Gutierrez C. 15. Herzog J. 25. Lukovic M. 2. Marvin 39. Medina I. 35. Suarez A. (G)	1. Banuz M. (G) 14. Bicho 17. Calero I. 7. Collado D. 11. Cortes P. 5. Fornos Q. 33. Larios J. 6. Maestre S. 18. Paraschiv D. 22. Pibe 26. Rafus A. (G) 4. Rodri Suarez
Coaches
Garcia L.	Ziganda C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (4 - 0)
2', 1 - 0, Clemente E. ⚽, Marmol M. (A),
19', 2 - 0, Jese ⚽, Sergio Barcia (A),
20', Ribeiro L. 🟨,
21', Amatucci L. 🟨,
28', 3 - 0, Fuster M. ⚽, Pejino (A),
39', 4 - 0, Jese ⚽, Fuster M. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Justo M. ↓, Collado D. ↑,
46', Tresaco R. ↓, Bicho ↑,
46', Diallo Selu M. ↓, Maestre S. ↑,
46', Amatucci L. ↓, Gonzalez I. ↑,
55', Bicho 🟨,
59', Jese ↓, Lukovic M. ↑,
59', Pejino ↓, Gil I. ↑,
63', Garcia L. 🟨,
69', Chacon L. ↓, Cortes P. ↑,
74', Sergio Barcia ↓, Herzog J. ↑,
75', Viera J. ↓, Alex Suarez ↑,
80', Ribeiro L. ↓, Pibe ↑,
87', Ribeiro T. ↓, Fornos Q. ↑,
89', Viti ↓, Arvelo A. ↑,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 13).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Leonesa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Leonesa has had a series of home games.

In this match, Las Palmas is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Las Palmas: Garcia A. (Hamstring Injury) Ramirez S. (Knee Injury) Recoba J. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Leonesa: Rodri Suarez (Injury) Satrustegui E. (Knee Injury) Sobrino R. (Injury)

There are questionable in Las Palmas: Viera J. (Injury)

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Las Palmas
Spanish LaLiga2
14.12.25	Ceuta - Las Palmas	1:1 ✺
08.12.25	Las Palmas - Mirandés	0:0 ✺
30.11.25	Castellón - Las Palmas	1:0 ✺
21.11.25	Las Palmas - Albacete Balompié	2:1 ✺
14.11.25	Valladolid - Las Palmas	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 TTLWW
- Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa
Spanish Copa del Rey
17.12.25	Leonesa - Levante	1:0 ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
12.12.25	Leonesa - Huesca	0:2 ✺
07.12.25	Eibar - Leonesa	1:2 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
03.12.25	Leonesa - FC Andorra	4:2 ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
29.11.25	Leonesa - Granada	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.7 WLWWL

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