Match Info

SPAIN: PRIMERA RFEF - GROUP 1 - ROUND 15

Date: 7 December 2022, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Reino de León (León)


	Leonesa		San Fernando

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.3	4.75
	1.77	3.5	3.75
	1.85	3.3	3.75
	1.77	3.4	4
	1.88	3.61	3.99
	1.8	3.5	3.9
	1.82	3.54	3.82
	1.82	3.35	3.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↓ (2.17)	3.44 ↑ (3.01)	3.99 ↑ (3.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leonesa
50.5%

Draw
26.6%

San Fernando
22.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.5%

29.9%

28.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.7%

30.8%

27.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leonesa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Leonesa's performance.

San Fernando has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and San Fernando might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leonesa than the current prediction. (-7.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Leonesa that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Fernando than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
58.3%	0%	41.7%

Leonesa - San Fernando Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Leonesa will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%). San Fernando will win (votes: 5 - 41.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Leonesa: 30.4% – 86.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 9 and 15).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Leonesa could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Leonesa is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Leonesa won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
03.12.22	Real Madrid Castilla - Leonesa	1:1 ✺
26.11.22	Leonesa - Unionistas de Salamanca	2:0 ✺
20.11.22	Deportivo A Coruña - Leonesa	2:2 ✺
06.11.22	Leonesa - Rayo Majadahonda	1:3 ✺
29.10.22	Linense - Leonesa	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 TWTLL
- CD San Fernando
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
04.12.22	San Fernando - Linares Deportivo	1:1 ✺
26.11.22	San Fernando - Celta de Vigo B	1:2 ✺
20.11.22	Real Madrid Castilla - San Fernando	2:0 ✺
06.11.22	San Fernando - Fuenlabrada	3:0 ✺
30.10.22	Pontevedra - San Fernando	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 TLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Copa del Rey
01.12.21	San Fernando - Leonesa	2:3

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