Match Info

SPAIN: LaLiga2 - Round 13

Date: 27 November 2024, Wednesday

Location: Estadi Ciutat de València (Valencia)


	Levante		Málaga

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.6	4.75	Watch
	1.78	3.4	4.1
	1.8	3.5	4.33	Watch
	1.82	3.65	4.74
	1.79	3.62	4.62	Watch
	1.83	3.5	4
	1.81	3.72	4.35	Watch
	1.8	3.5	4.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↑ (1.69)	3.56 ↓ (3.79)	4.4 ↓ (5.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Levante
52.3%

Draw
26.4%

Málaga
21.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.3%

25%

18.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.1%

26.3%

17.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Levante has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

Málaga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Levante than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Levante, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Málaga than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.5%	37.5%	0%

Levante - Málaga Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Levante will win (votes: 9 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Levante: 35.2% – 84.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Fernandez A. (G) 2. Garcia A. 5. Elgezabal U. 14. Cabello J. 16. Varela Pampin D. 20. Rey O. 6. Kochorashvili G. 24. Alvarez C. 23. Martinez P. (C) 7. Brugue R. 9. Romero I.	1. Herrero A. (C) 2. Gabilondo J. 5. Pastor A. 20. Monte N. 18. Sanchez D. 10. Larrubia D. 29. Merino I. 12. Molina M. 11. Medina K. 17. Dioni 22. Lorenzo D.
Substitutes
8. Algobia A. 17. Clemente O. 4. Dela 38. Espi C. 12. Fabricio 30. Fernandez V. 21. Lozano S. 11. Morales J. 29. Navarro M. 36. Pastor A. (G) 32. Primo A. (G) 31. Xavi Grande	9. Baturina R. 25. Castel S. 26. Cordero A. 15. Diarra M. 6. Enriquez R. 14. Garcia V. 24. Lobete J. 13. Lopez C. (G) 35. Ochoa A. 3. Puga C. 21. Rahmani Y. 23. Sangalli L.
Coaches
Calero J.	Pellicer S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 2)
14', 1 - 0, Romero I. ⚽, Garcia A. (A),
16', 1 - 1, Larrubia D. ⚽, Gabilondo J. (A),
33', 2 - 1, Romero I. ⚽, Kochorashvili G. (A),
41', 2 - 2, Lorenzo D. ⚽, Medina K. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Lorenzo D. ↓, Ochoa A. ↑,
55', Molina M. 🟨,
56', Garcia A. 🟨,
64', Merino I. ↓, Enriquez R. ↑,
64', Dioni ↓, Castel S. ↑,
68', Martinez P. ↓, Lozano S. ↑,
68', Kochorashvili G. ↓, Algobia A. ↑,
68', Brugue R. ↓, Morales J. ↑,
72', Medina K. ↓, Lobete J. ↑,
77', Rey O. ↓, Espi C. ↑,
81', 3 - 2, Alvarez C. ⚽,
82', Larrubia D. ↓, Cordero A. ↑,
86', Romero I. ↓, Dela ↑,
90', Morales J. 🟨,
90+5', 4 - 2, Algobia A. ⚽,

Preview

Postponed due to natural disaster.

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 12).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Levante won 2.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Levante could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Levante is a favorite.

There will not play in Levante: Brugue R. (Thigh Injury) Iborra V. (Heel Injury) Varela Pampin D. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Málaga: Abaida H. (Muscle Injury)

Last 15 head-to-head matches Levante won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 13:16 (average 0.9:1.1).

Including matches at home between the teams Levante won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 11:6 (average 1.6:0.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Levante UD
Spanish LaLiga2
22.11.24	Ferrol - Levante	0:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
19.11.24	Pontevedra - Levante	4:1 ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
16.11.24	Levante - Elche	1:1 ✺
27.10.24	Granada - Levante	1:2 ✺
24.10.24	Levante - Deportivo A Coruña	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 TLTWW
- Málaga CF
Spanish LaLiga2
23.11.24	Málaga - Racing Santander	0:0 ✺
17.11.24	Zaragoza - Málaga	0:0 ✺
09.11.24	Málaga - Cartagena	1:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
31.10.24	Estepona - Málaga	3:2 ET ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
27.10.24	Málaga - Eibar	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 TTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
17.03.23	Málaga - Levante	0:0
04.12.22	Levante - Málaga	1:0
Spanish LaLiga
19.04.18	Levante - Málaga	1:0
01.12.17	Málaga - Levante	0:0
02.05.16	Málaga - Levante	3:1
30.12.15	Levante - Málaga	0:1
07.02.15	Levante - Málaga	4:1

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