Match Info

SPAIN: LALIGA2 - ROUND 40

Date: 15 May 2023, Monday

Location: Estadi Ciutat de València (Valencia)

Referee: Alvendiz L. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Optus Sport
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport
Bulgaria	Max Sport 2
Croatia	Arena Sport
Cyprus	PrimeTel
Denmark	TV2 Sport X
Finland	CMore
France	beIN Sports Max
Greece	Nova Sports
Portugal	Eleven Sports
Serbia	Arena Sport


	Levante		Ibiza

	1	X	2
	1.22	6	12	Watch
	1.21	6	12
	1.2	6.25	15
	1.2	6.54	18
	1.17	6.95	16.5	Watch
	1.21	6.2	12
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.2 ↓ (1.36)	6.32 ↑ (4.4)	14.25 ↑ (9)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Levante
78.5%

Draw
14.9%

Ibiza
6.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.6%

21.1%

10.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.3%

13.9%

15.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Levante has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Levante's performance.

Ibiza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Levante than the current prediction. (-33.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Levante that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ibiza than the current prediction. (+9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ibiza could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
84.8%	9.1%	6.1%

Levante - Ibiza Predictions

Users Predictions: Levante will win (28 of 33 users predict this - 84.85%).
Confidence interval (95%): 72.62% – 97.08%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Levante has the most likely position - 3 (22.93%), project points - 71, currently - 65, not chance of relegated, a good chance of prom. playoffs (62%), a good chance of promoted (56%), a chance of win league (16%).

Ibiza has the most likely position - 21 (76.19%), project points - 31, currently - 29, already of relegated.

This event has small quality 30, importance 50, match rating 40. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Recent matches Levante is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Ibiza has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Levante is absolute favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Levante won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Levante UD
Spanish LaLiga2
06.05.23	Tenerife - Levante	1:0 ✺
29.04.23	Levante - Deportivo Alavés	2:0 ✺
22.04.23	Las Palmas - Levante	0:0 ✺
17.04.23	Levante - Mirandés	1:2 ✺
09.04.23	Eibar - Levante	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 LWTLT
- UD Ibiza
Spanish LaLiga2
07.05.23	Ibiza - Albacete Balompié	0:5 ✺
28.04.23	Racing Santander - Ibiza	1:0 ✺
22.04.23	Ibiza - Real Oviedo	1:2 ✺
16.04.23	Tenerife - Ibiza	4:0 ✺
08.04.23	Ibiza - Sporting de Gijón	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
22.10.22	Ibiza - Levante	1:2

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