Match Info

USL Championship

Date: 12 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Lynn Family Stadium (Louisville, KY)

Referee: Corrigan M. (Usa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Brazil	Disney+
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Mexico	Disney+, ESPN
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
Peru	Disney+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+, SportsEngine Play
Venezuela	Disney+


	Louisville City		El Paso Locomotive

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.75	3.60	3.75
	1.62	3.65	4.35
	1.73	4.01	4.5
	1.78	3.89	3.99	Watch
	1.76	4	4
	1.74	3.85	4.27	Watch
	1.72	3.7	4.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↓ (1.76)	3.81 ↓ (3.86)	4.14 ↑ (3.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Louisville City
53.4%

Draw
24.2%

El Paso Locomotive
22.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.3%

23.9%

23.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.1%

24.7%

23%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Louisville City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

El Paso Locomotive has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Louisville City than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for El Paso Locomotive than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Louisville City - El Paso Locomotive Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
29. Schewe R. (G) 4. Totsch S. (C) 5. Dayes B. 13. Dia A. 2. McFadden A. 8. Davila T. 31. Lambert K. 3. Morris J. 47. Akale M. 9. Donovan C. 25. Wilson J.	99. Romero A. (G) 25. Ortiz A. 15. Dollenmayer N. 93. Tony Alfaro 2. Cardona N. 30. Coronado R. 6. Calvillo E. (C) 16. Gabriel Torres 19. Mendez A. 14. Rubin R. 10. Moreno A.
Substitutes
32. Adams K. 99. Conley C. 27. Davila E. 28. Duke C. 21. Huerman Q. 15. Perez E. 7. Serrano R. 14. Showunmi T. 30. Troutman R. (G)	13. Avila R. 23. Diaz G. 5. Gomez D. 29. Hoban K. 7. Jones Z. 4. Pedro Cruz (G) 12. Ruiz R. 8. Sainte C.
Coaches
Bird S.	Gonzalez J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
23', Dayes B. 🟨,
24', 0 - 1, Mendez A. (Penalty Awarded),
45', 0 - 2, Rubin R. ⚽, Moreno A. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Akale M. ↓, Davila E. ↑,
46', Morris J. ↓, Perez E. ↑,
46', Wilson J. ↓, Showunmi T. ↑,
58', Totsch S. ↓, Duke C. ↑,
65', Mendez A. ↓, Avila R. ↑,
65', Moreno A. ↓, Jones Z. ↑,
74', Coronado R. ↓, Gomez D. ↑,
77', 1 - 2, Perez E. ⚽, Davila T. (A),
78', Lambert K. ↓, Huerman Q. ↑,
82', Calvillo E. ↓, Sainte C. ↑,
82', Dollenmayer N. ↓, Diaz G. ↑,
90+5', McFadden A. 🟨,
90+6', Rubin R. 🟨,

Preview

Louisville City has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

El Paso is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Louisville City may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Louisville City has had a series of away games.

In this match, Louisville City is the team to beat.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Louisville City won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:5. (average 1.8:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Louisville City won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:5. (average 2.5:2.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Louisville City FC
USL Cup
08.09.26	San Antonio - Louisville City	0:1 penalties ✺
USL Championship
05.09.26	Rhode Island - Louisville City	1:1 ✺
29.08.26	Louisville City - Detroit City	0:0 ✺
22.08.26	Indy Eleven - Louisville City	2:1 ✺
15.08.26	Orange County SC - Louisville City	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WTTLW
- El Paso Locomotive
USL Championship
29.08.26	El Paso Locomotive - Loudoun United	4:1 ✺
26.08.26	El Paso Locomotive - Pittsburgh Riverhounds	2:1 ✺
22.08.26	Colorado Springs Switchbacks - El Paso Locomotive	0:1 ✺
15.08.26	San Antonio - El Paso Locomotive	0:3 ✺
08.08.26	El Paso Locomotive - Oakland Roots	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.2 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

USL Championship
16.03.24	El Paso Locomotive - Louisville City	0:1
25.03.23	Louisville City - El Paso Locomotive	0:3
30.07.22	El Paso Locomotive - Louisville City	0:1
Club Friendly
16.02.22	Louisville City - El Paso Locomotive	5:2

Upcoming Matches