Match Info

USL Championship

Date: 22 July 2026, Wednesday

Location: Toyota Stadium (Georgetown, KY)

Referee: Pennington A. (Usa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Canada	fubo Sports Network
Mexico	VIX
Usa	CBS Sports Network, Fubo Sports Network, SportsEngine Play, TUDN


	Lexington		Oakland Roots

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.73	3.75	3.60
	1.72	3.85	3.95
	1.74	4.16	4.36
	1.77	3.97	3.96	Watch
	1.75	4	4.05
	1.67	3.84	4.16	Watch
	1.72	3.8	3.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↓ (1.93)	3.91 ↑ (3.63)	4 ↑ (3.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lexington
53.4%

Draw
23.6%

Oakland Roots
23%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.1%

25.6%

26.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49%

25.1%

25.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lexington has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lexington's performance.

Oakland Roots has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lexington than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oakland Roots than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.1%	42.9%	0%

Lexington - Oakland Roots Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Lexington will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Lexington (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
17. Semmle O. (G) 12. Zengue X. 5. Burks K. 23. Brown J. 2. Greene J. 16. Ferri B. 6. Molloy A. (C) 8. Nick Firmino 27. Rodrigues B. P. 7. Epps M. 9. Goodrum P.	1. McIntosh K. (G) 17. Tingey K. 34. Edwards M. 15. Hackshaw N. 11. de Vicente J. 6. Byaruhanga B. 4. McCabe T. (C) 21. Lepley T. 10. Valot F. 7. Prentice W. 9. Wilson P.
Substitutes
40. Addams G. (G) 14. Caborn A. 22. Hafferty J. 18. Henry-Scott M. 21. Muir M. 4. Ordonez A. 19. Scott T. 31. Thompson B. (G) 20. Yosef M.	77. Bettache F. 23. Bravo J. 57. Caracheo A. (G) 12. Gibson T. 27. Jacquesson B. 19. Kiil J. 99. Trejo D.
Coaches
Hemmi M.	Martin R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
45', Hackshaw N. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
50', 1 - 0, Goodrum P. ⚽, Nick Firmino (A),
54', Goodrum P. 🟨,
63', 2 - 0, Ferri B. ⚽, Goodrum P. (A),
64', Lepley T. ↓, Trejo D. ↑,
64', Prentice W. ↓, Jacquesson B. ↑,
70', Rodrigues B. P. ↓, Scott T. ↑,
80', Tingey K. 🟨,
80', de Vicente J. ↓, Bravo J. ↑,
87', Ferri B. 🟨,
88', Greene J. ↓, Hafferty J. ↑,
88', Valot F. ↓, Bettache F. ↑,
88', Wilson P. ↓, Kiil J. ↑,
90+2', Brown J. ↓, Ordonez A. ↑,
90+3', Goodrum P. ↓, Henry-Scott M. ↑,
90+3', Henry-Scott M. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 10 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Lexington may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Lexington is considered a favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Lexington won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:4. (average 1:2).

Including home match between the teams, Lexington won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Last Results with these Odds

Oakland Roots - the odds 3.54 are the expected chance of winning is 26.25%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lexington SC
USL Championship
15.07.26	Lexington - New Mexico United	1:4 ✺
USL Cup
11.07.26	Louisville City - Lexington	4:2 ✺
USL Championship
04.07.26	Tampa Bay Rowdies - Lexington	1:4 ✺
USL Cup
20.06.26	Lexington - Indy Eleven	0:1 penalties ✺
USL Championship
13.06.26	Lexington - San Antonio	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 LLWLW
- Oakland Roots
USL Cup
11.07.26	Oakland Roots - Spokane Velocity	1:3 ✺
USL Championship
04.07.26	New Mexico United - Oakland Roots	2:1 ✺
20.06.26	Phoenix Rising - Oakland Roots	3:4 ✺
17.06.26	Oakland Roots - Birmingham Legion	1:1 ✺
13.06.26	Oakland Roots - Miami	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LLWTT

Latest Head to Head

USL Championship
25.10.25	Oakland Roots - Lexington	3:0
23.08.25	Lexington - Oakland Roots	2:1

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