Match Info

USL Championship

Date: 25 July 2026, Saturday

Location: Keyworth Stadium (Hamtramck, MI)

Referee: Hassan M. (Usa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Canada	fubo Sports Network
Usa	ESPN 2, Fubo Sports Network, SportsEngine Play


	Detroit City		Las Vegas Lights

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.55	3.80	4.75
	1.58	3.9	4.85
	1.6	4.22	5.42
	1.59	4.13	5.02	Watch
	1.58	4.15	5.1
	1.64	3.9	4.95	Watch
	1.58	3.85	4.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↑ (1.58)	3.99 ↓ (4.12)	4.98 ↑ (4.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Detroit City
58.3%

Draw
23.2%

Las Vegas Lights
18.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.7%

22.5%

18.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.1%

21.6%

18.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Detroit City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Las Vegas Lights has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Detroit City than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Las Vegas Lights than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Detroit City - Las Vegas Lights Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Herrera C. (G) 14. Yamazaki H. 30. Amoo-Mensah D. (C) 4. Montgomery C. 3. Stanley A. 8. Diop A. 22. Hernandez-Foster K. 17. Rafa Mentzingen 21. Rodriguez M. 32. Diouf A. 7. Smith D.	13. Lanphier C. (G) 6. Sessock N. 30. Ofeimu B. 33. Guillen A. 81. Antonoglou T. 27. Probo G. 23. Ybarra M. 18. Locker C. 11. Pinzon C. (C) 14. Rodriguez J. 25. Anderson O.
Substitutes
15. Dalou A. 18. Etaka P. 20. Hope-Gund R. 16. Mkuruva T. (G) 9. Morris B. 33. Silva T. 6. Williams R.	9. Arteaga M. 26. Bwana H. 1. Henry T. (G) 3. Jones N. 17. Leal P. 43. Okyere A. 45. Pope B.
Coaches
Dichio D.	Rensing D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
1', 0 - 1, Anderson O. ⚽, Locker C. (A),
14', Lanphier C. ↓, Henry T. ↑,
42', Pinzon C. 🟨,
45+2', Diop A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Locker C. 🟨,
52', Anderson O. 🟨,
67', Rodriguez M. ↓, Silva T. ↑,
67', Hernandez-Foster K. ↓, Williams R. ↑,
68', Rafa Mentzingen ↓, Etaka P. ↑,
71', Probo G. 🟨,
75', Anderson O. ↓, Okyere A. ↑,
84', Diop A. ↓, Dalou A. ↑,
84', Diouf A. ↓, Morris B. ↑,
84', Pinzon C. ↓, Leal P. ↑,
88', Amoo-Mensah D. 🟨,
88', Leal P. 🟨,
90+2', Locker C. ↓, Jones N. ↑,
90+2', Rodriguez J. ↓, Arteaga M. ↑,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 11).

Detroit City is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Las Vegas has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Detroit City is considered a favorite.

We predict that Detroit City will win today's game, with odds of 1.57.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Detroit City won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1:0.3).

Including home match between the teams, Detroit City won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Detroit City FC
USL Championship
18.07.26	Detroit City - Indy Eleven	2:0 ✺
USL Cup
11.07.26	Fort Wayne - Detroit City	1:2 ✺
USL Championship
02.07.26	Birmingham Legion - Detroit City	1:2 ✺
USL Cup
20.06.26	Detroit City - Louisville City	0:1 penalties ✺
USL Championship
13.06.26	Sporting Jacksonville - Detroit City	2:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WWWLW
- Las Vegas Lights
USL Championship
18.07.26	San Antonio - Las Vegas Lights	1:2 ✺
USL Cup
11.07.26	Monterey Bay - Las Vegas Lights	2:3 ✺
USL Championship
04.07.26	Las Vegas Lights - El Paso Locomotive	1:2 ✺
20.06.26	Las Vegas Lights - Orange County SC	2:3 ✺
13.06.26	Birmingham Legion - Las Vegas Lights	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.7 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

USL Championship
10.08.24	Las Vegas Lights - Detroit City	1:1
19.08.23	Detroit City - Las Vegas Lights	1:0
02.07.22	Las Vegas Lights - Detroit City	0:1

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