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Current Win Probability
Leyton Orient 54.3%
Draw 26%
Northampton Town 19.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
53.6%
24.8%
21.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
54.7%
24.3%
21.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Leyton Orient has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)
Northampton Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leyton Orient than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Northampton Town than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
93.7%
6.2%
0%
Leyton Orient - Northampton Town Predictions
Users Predictions:
Leyton Orient will win
(14 of 15 users predict this - 93.33%). Confidence interval (95%): 80.7% – 100%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Leyton Orient will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Simkin T. (G) 2. James T. 19. Beckles O. (C) 5. Happe D. 3. Adaramola T. 28. Clare S. 15. Bakinson T. 17. Koroma J. 27. Jaiyesimi D. 7. O'Neill O. 10. Connolly A.
1. Burge L. (G) 3. McCarthy C. 35. Dyche M. 21. Perkins J. 7. Hoskins S. (C) 4. Campbell D. 23. Taylor T. 12. Guinness-Walker N. 8. McGeehan C. 19. Wheatley E. 14. Fornah T.
Substitutes
22. Abdulai A. 33. Cahill K. (G) 14. Craig M. 18. Edmonds-Green R. 11. Mitchell D. 21. Moorhouse J. 25. Wellens C.
2. Burroughs J. 9. Eaves T. 34. Fitzsimons R. (G) 18. Forbes M. 10. List E. 15. Thorniley J. 16. Wormleighton J.
Coaches
Wellens R.
Nolan K.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
40', Adaramola T. 🟨,
45+2', James T. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Guinness-Walker N. ↓, Thorniley J. ↑,
54', Koroma J. 🟨,
58', 0 - 1, Hoskins S. ⚽, Fornah T. (A),
59', Jaiyesimi D. ↓, Moorhouse J. ↑,
71', Fornah T. ↓, List E. ↑,
72', Perkins J. ↓, Forbes M. ↑,
72', Adaramola T. ↓, Craig M. ↑,
72', O'Neill O. ↓, Mitchell D. ↑,
78', Bakinson T. ↓, Wellens C. ↑,
80', Wheatley E. ↓, Eaves T. ↑,
90+5', Beckles O. 🟨,
90+6', Connolly A. 🟨,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leyton Orient won 1.
Leyton Orient has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Northampton is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Recently, Northampton has had a series of home games.
In this match, Leyton Orient is considered a favorite.
There will not play in Leyton Orient: Archibald T.
(Knee Injury)
El Mizouni I.
(Red Card)
Graham J.
(Knee Injury)
There will not play in Northampton: Guthrie J.
(Knee Injury)
Shaw L.
(Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Leyton Orient: Koroma J.
(Injury)
Obiero Z.
(Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Northampton: Jacobs M.
(Knock)
Swyer K.
(Knock)
Thorniley J.
(Muscle Injury)
Wheatley E.
(Injury)
In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Leyton Orient won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 17:21. (average 1.1:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Leyton Orient won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:14. (average 1.4:2).
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Simkin T. (G) 
James T. 
Beckles O. (C) 
Adaramola T. 
Koroma J. 
Campbell D. 
McGeehan C. 
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