The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Fleetwood Town 26.4%
Draw 27.4%
Luton Town 46.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
28.7%
22.9%
48.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
28.5%
22.7%
48.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fleetwood Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
Luton Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fleetwood Town than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luton Town than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
Fleetwood Town - Luton Town Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Harrington D. (G) 18. Holgate H. 4. Bolton J. 32. Hughes K. 16. Ennis E. 6. Bonds E. (C) 20. Neal H. 14. McCann L. 10. Helm M. 17. Evans C. 7. Graydon R.
1. Shea J. (C) 2. Walters R. 5. Andersen M. 15. Mengi T. 38. Johnson J. 27. Richards J. 23. Saville G. 22. Fanne L. 7. Alli M. 37. Nelson Z. 20. Nordas L.
Substitutes
19. Coughlan R. 15. Davies J. 9. Davies W. 13. Lynch J. (G) 3. Medley Z. 44. Mullarkey T. 11. Norwood J. 5. Potter F. 8. Virtue-Thick M.
19. Brown J. 24. Keeley J. (G) 30. Kodua G. 17. Lonwijk N. 28. Makosso C. 14. Morris S. 3. Naismith K. 8. Walsh L. 9. Yates J.
Coaches
Wild P.
Wilshere J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 2)
46', Saville G. ↓, Walsh L. ↑,
63', Alli M. ↓, Kodua G. ↑,
63', Nordas L. ↓, Yates J. ↑,
63', Richards J. ↓, Brown J. ↑,
65', 1 - 0, Ennis E. ⚽,
68', Graydon R. 🟨,
71', Helm M. ↓, Virtue-Thick M. ↑,
73', 1 - 1, Yates J. ⚽, Kodua G. (A),
74', Johnson J. 🟨,
78', Nelson Z. 🟨,
80', Graydon R. ↓, Davies W. ↑,
83', 2 - 1, Ennis E. ⚽, Virtue-Thick M. (A),
85', Nelson Z. ↓, Morris S. ↑,
87', Evans C. ↓, Potter F. ↑,
90+3', 2 - 2, Mengi T. ⚽,
Extra Time (0 - 0)
91', Hughes K. ↓, Coughlan R. ↑,
91', Johnson J. ↓, Naismith K. ↑,
99', Bolton J. ↓, Mullarkey T. ↑,
106', McCann L. ↓, Medley Z. ↑,
Penalties (4 - 2)
1, Kodua G. (Penalty Awarded),
1, Coughlan R. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Naismith K. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Ennis E. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Brown J. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Holgate H. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Walsh L. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Neal H. (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
Fleetwood is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Luton has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Fleetwood may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Luton has had a series of home games.
In this match, Luton is the team to beat.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Fleetwood won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.3:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Fleetwood won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).
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Harrington D. (G) 
Holgate H. 
Bonds E. (C) 
McCann L. 
Evans C. 
Andersen M. 
Fanne L. 
Nordas L. 
Brown J. 
Lonwijk N. 
Makosso C. 
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