Match Info

League One - Round 27

Date: 17 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Brisbane Road (London)

Referee: Bell E. (Eng)


	Leyton Orient		Reading

	1	X	2
	2.65	3.5	2.4
	2.68	3.45	2.48
	2.58	3.47	2.58	Watch
	2.63	3.25	2.5
	2.64	3.52	2.46	Watch
	2.57	3.5	2.57
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.63 ↑ (2.58)	3.45 ↑ (3.4)	2.5 ↓ (2.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leyton Orient
35.6%

Draw
27.1%

Reading
37.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.2%

27.5%

36.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.3%

27.6%

36.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leyton Orient has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Reading has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leyton Orient than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Reading than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
72.7%	9.1%	18.2%

Leyton Orient - Reading Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Leyton Orient will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). Reading will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Leyton Orient: 46.4% – 99%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Leyton Orient (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - draw (1.51) (votes: 0 - 0%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Cahill K. (G) 28. Clare S. 6. Forrester W. 4. Simpson J. 2. James T. 25. Wellens C. 15. Bakinson T. 44. Archibald T. (C) 9. Matthews A. 7. O'Neill O. 32. Ballard D.	1. Pereira J. (G) 17. Yiadom A. 15. O'Connor P. 12. Burns F. 3. Dorsett A. J. R. 10. Wing L. (C) 8. Savage C. 30. Ritchie M. 29. Doyle K. 11. Kyerewaa D. 7. Marriott J.
Substitutes
22. Abdulai A. 16. Casey K. 14. Craig M. 5. Happe D. 17. Koroma J. 11. Mitchell D. 21. Moorhouse J.	39. Ahmed A. 9. Ehibhatiomhan K. 6. Fraser L. 56. Keane W. 32. Lane P. 25. Stevens J. (G) 22. Stickland M.
Coaches
Wellens R.	Richardson L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
7', Yiadom A. 🟨,
39', Savage C. 🟨,
45', 1 - 0, Ballard D. ⚽, O'Neill O. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
52', 1 - 1, Marriott J. ⚽, Doyle K. (A),
57', Archibald T. 🟨,
58', Matthews A. ↓, Abdulai A. ↑,
60', Ritchie M. ↓, Fraser L. ↑,
65', 2 - 1, Ballard D. ⚽, Archibald T. (A),
73', Doyle K. ↓, Ehibhatiomhan K. ↑,
73', Savage C. ↓, Keane W. ↑,
77', O'Connor P. 🟨,
78', Clare S. 🟨,
82', Clare S. ↓, Casey K. ↑,
84', Burns F. ↓, Lane P. ↑,
85', Forrester W. ↓, Happe D. ↑,
85', 3 - 1, Ballard D. ⚽, O'Neill O. (A),
90+9', Cahill K. 🟨,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 18 and 9).

Leyton Orient has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Reading is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Leyton Orient may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

There will not play in Leyton Orient: Connolly A. (Injury) Edmonds-Green R. (Inactive) El Mizouni I. (Injury) Graham J. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Reading: Elliott B. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Reading: Lane P. (Inactive) Williams D. (Inactive)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leyton Orient won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 7:4. (average 1.4:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Leyton Orient won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).

Outrights of English League One for now

Reading: 6.34% Leyton Orient: 0.83%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Reading	9	4	3	2	22:11	11	15
12	Leyton Orient	9	3	2	4	13:11	2	11

Last Results with these Odds

Leyton Orient - the odds 2.58 are the expected chance of winning is 36.25%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Reading - the odds 2.58 are the expected chance of winning is 36.25%, but this team recently wins 30% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leyton Orient
English League One
10.01.26	Leyton Orient - Cardiff City	1:1 ✺
01.01.26	Leyton Orient - AFC Wimbledon	1:3 ✺
29.12.25	Luton Town - Leyton Orient	3:0 ✺
26.12.25	Peterborough United - Leyton Orient	1:0 ✺
20.12.25	Leyton Orient - Bradford City	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 TLLLW
- Reading
English League One
04.01.26	Reading - Stockport County	1:0 ✺
01.01.26	Reading - Burton Albion	2:0 ✺
29.12.25	Peterborough United - Reading	1:1 ✺
26.12.25	Plymouth Argyle - Reading	1:4 ✺
18.12.25	Reading - Luton Town	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

English League One
20.09.25	Reading - Leyton Orient	2:1
25.01.25	Leyton Orient - Reading	2:0
14.09.24	Reading - Leyton Orient	0:1
27.01.24	Reading - Leyton Orient	1:1
07.10.23	Leyton Orient - Reading	2:1

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