Match Info

League One - Round 26

Date: 10 January 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Brisbane Road (London) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Oldham S. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Usa	10:00	CBS Sports Network, Paramount+


	Leyton Orient		Cardiff City

	1	X	2
	3.9	3.75	1.79
	3.6	3.7	1.9
	3.7	3.95	1.82
	3.89	3.95	1.81	Watch
	3.6	3.6	1.85
	3.9	3.75	1.83	Watch
	3.8	4	1.81
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.77 ↑ (3.4)	3.81 ↑ (3.45)	1.83 ↓ (2.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leyton Orient
24.7%

Draw
24.4%

Cardiff City
50.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

27.6%

27.2%

45.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.5%

27.2%

45.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leyton Orient has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Cardiff City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Cardiff City's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leyton Orient than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cardiff City than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Cardiff City, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
15%	5%	80%

Leyton Orient - Cardiff City Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

1X2, 2nd Half - Cardiff (2.16) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

1X2, 1st Half - Cardiff (2.36) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Cardiff City will win (16 of 20 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.47% – 97.53%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Cardiff City will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Cardiff (votes: 9 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Cahill K. (G) 28. Clare S. 4. Simpson J. 6. Forrester W. 2. James T. 44. Archibald T. (C) 14. Craig M. 15. Bakinson T. 7. O'Neill O. 9. Lloyd A. 32. Ballard D.	13. Trott N. (G) 38. Ng P. 2. Fish W. 4. Osho G. 3. Bagan J. 6. Wintle R. (C) 18. Robertson A. 8. Kellyman O. 11. Tanner O. 16. Willock C. 22. Salech Y.
Substitutes
22. Abdulai A. 19. Beckles O. 17. Koroma J. 11. Mitchell D. 21. Moorhouse J. 20. Perkins S. 25. Wellens C.	27. Colwill J. 39. Davies I. 44. Kpakio R. 48. Lawlor D. 47. Robinson C. 14. Turnbull D. 41. Turner M. (G)
Coaches
Wellens R.	Barry-Murphy B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
12', 1 - 0, Ballard D. ⚽,
33', 1 - 1, Salech Y. ⚽,
42', Kellyman O. ↓, Turnbull D. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
55', Archibald T. 🟨,
55', Tanner O. 🟨,
60', Bagan J. ↓, Kpakio R. ↑,
61', Tanner O. ↓, Davies I. ↑,
61', Craig M. ↓, Abdulai A. ↑,
75', Lloyd A. ↓, Koroma J. ↑,
86', Robertson A. ↓, Robinson C. ↑,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 20 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship).

Recent form of Leyton Orient has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Cardiff is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Leyton Orient may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Cardiff is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Leyton Orient: Connolly A. (Injury) Edmonds-Green R. (Inactive) El Mizouni I. (Injury) Graham J. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Cardiff: Colwill R. (Ankle Injury) King E. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Leyton Orient: James T. (Injury)

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Leyton Orient won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
16	Leyton Orient	12	4	2	6	16:14	2	14

Outrights of English League One for now

Leyton Orient: 0.81%

Last Results with these Odds

Leyton Orient - the odds 3.4 are the expected chance of winning is 27.62%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leyton Orient
English League One
01.01.26	Leyton Orient - AFC Wimbledon	1:3 ✺
29.12.25	Luton Town - Leyton Orient	3:0 ✺
26.12.25	Peterborough United - Leyton Orient	1:0 ✺
20.12.25	Leyton Orient - Bradford City	2:1 ✺
13.12.25	Barnsley - Leyton Orient	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LLLWL
- Cardiff City
English League One
04.01.26	Cardiff City - Wigan Athletic	1:0 ✺
01.01.26	Wycombe Wanderers - Cardiff City	1:1 ✺
29.12.25	Cardiff City - Stevenage Borough	2:1 ✺
26.12.25	Cardiff City - Exeter City	1:0 ✺
20.12.25	Lincoln City - Cardiff City	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WTWWL

Latest Head to Head

English League One
04.10.25	Cardiff City - Leyton Orient	4:3

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