Match Info

CHINA: Jia League - Round 25

Date: 27 September 2024, Friday

Location: Qingdao Tiantai Stadium (Qingdao)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	Migu, QQ Sports


	Qingdao Red Lions		Guangzhou Evergrande

	1	X	2
				Watch
	4.8	3.8	1.55
	5	3.75	1.57
	5.2	4	1.6
	5.23	3.8	1.64	Watch
	5	3.8	1.55
	4.96	3.84	1.57	Watch
	5	3.75	1.57
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.03 ↑ (3.36)	3.82 ↑ (3.18)	1.58 ↓ (2.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Qingdao Red Lions
18.2%

Draw
23.9%

Guangzhou Evergrande
57.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.9%

29.5%

42.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27%

28.5%

44.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Qingdao Red Lions has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Qingdao Red Lions's form might have worsened.

Guangzhou Evergrande has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Guangzhou Evergrande's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Qingdao Red Lions than the current prediction. (+8.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Qingdao Red Lions, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guangzhou Evergrande than the current prediction. (-13.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Guangzhou Evergrande, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	14.3%	85.7%

Qingdao Red Lions - Guangzhou Evergrande Predictions

Users Predictions: Guangzhou Evergrande will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Zhu Quan (G) 32. Dai B. 6. Zheng Haokun 35. Zhang S. 23. Zhang Liang 37. Chen H. 20. Nie Aoshuang 10. Asamoah S. 44. Wu Junhao 13. Beshathan Zanhar 9. Sanogo Y.	32. Huo S. (G) 15. Xu Bin 2. Wang Wenxuan 18. Liao Jintao 5. Wang Shilong 16. Zhang Zhixiong 6. Hou Yu 28. Penaloza J. 24. Qurban W. 30. Bai Yutao 9. Alegria J.
Substitutes
21. Hai Xiaorui 18. He Youzu 17. Lian C. 31. Li Guihao 34. Li Tongrui 11. Mwanga J. E. 40. Pi Ziyang 19. Ren Lihao 33. Sun Weijia 25. Tang Y. (G) 43. Wang G. 30. Xin C.	11. Aniwar Abduwahap 1. Askhan (G) 3. Liu Langzhou 8. Sadauskas R. 13. Wang Jie 27. Wang Junyang 21. Wang Shijie 19. Wu Junjie 14. Wu Yongqiang 31. Wu Zitong (G) 23. Yang Dejiang 17. Yang Hao
Coaches
Ma Y.	Suay S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
21', Zhang Zhixiong 🟨,
33', 1 - 0, Nie Aoshuang ⚽, Chen H. (A),
40', Xu Bin 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Zhang Zhixiong ↓, Wu Yongqiang ↑,
46', Qurban W. ↓, Wu Junjie ↑,
48', Sanogo Y. 🟨,
56', Zheng Haokun 🟨,
59', Xu Bin ↓, Liu Langzhou ↑,
59', Bai Yutao ↓, Aniwar Abduwahap ↑,
61', Zhu Quan 🟨,
65', Asamoah S. 🟨,
69', Chen H. ↓, Pi Ziyang ↑,
82', Wang Wenxuan ↓, Yang Hao ↑,
88', Beshathan Zanhar ↓, He Youzu ↑,
88', Wu Junhao ↓, Mwanga J. E. ↑,
90+1', Huo S. 🟨,
90+6', 1 - 1, Alegria J. ⚽,
90+11', Sanogo Y. ↓, Ren Lihao ↑,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 13 and 3).

Qingdao Red Lions has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Guangzhou Evergrande is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match Guangzhou Evergrande is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Qingdao Red Lions won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Qingdao Red Lions
Chinese Jia League
21.09.24	Yunnan Yukun - Qingdao Red Lions	5:0 ✺
16.09.24	Qingdao Red Lions - Jiangxi Lushan	1:2 ✺
06.09.24	Qingdao Red Lions - Ningbo Professional	0:0 ✺
31.08.24	Guangxi Pingguo Haliao - Qingdao Red Lions	3:2 ✺
24.08.24	Qingdao Red Lions - Wuxi Wugou	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLTLL
- Guangzhou Evergrande TH
Chinese Jia League
21.09.24	Guangzhou Evergrande - Dalian Young Boy	2:0 ✺
15.09.24	Guangzhou Evergrande - Suzhou Dongwu	1:1 ✺
08.09.24	Wuxi Wugou - Guangzhou Evergrande	1:4 ✺
01.09.24	Guangzhou Evergrande - Chongqing Tongliang Long	2:0 ✺
24.08.24	Ningbo Professional - Guangzhou Evergrande	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.2 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Jia League
12.05.24	Guangzhou Evergrande - Qingdao Red Lions	1:1

Qingdao Red Lions - Guangzhou Evergrande: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide