Match Info

League One - Round 28

Date: 26 October 2025, Sunday

Location: Olympic Sports Centre Stadium (Shenyang)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	Migu, ZhiBo8


	Liaoning Tieren		Nantong Zhiyun

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.5	3.9	5.35	Watch
	1.83	3.37	4.34	Watch
	1.58	3.95	5.5	Watch
	1.68	3.55	4.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↓ (1.83)	3.69 ↑ (3.37)	5 ↑ (4.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Liaoning Tieren
56.3%

Draw
25.1%

Nantong Zhiyun
18.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.9%

27.6%

21.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.2%

26.4%

20.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Liaoning Tieren has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Liaoning Tieren's performance.

Nantong Zhiyun has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Liaoning Tieren than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nantong Zhiyun than the current prediction. (+2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Liaoning Tieren - Nantong Zhiyun Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Liaoning Tieren will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Liaoning Tieren (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
20. Liu Weiguo (G) 2. Sun Kangbo 3. Pan Ximing 6. Gao Jiarun 28. Xu Dong 18. Tian Yinong 15. Felipe 8. Samuel A. 10. Kunimoto T. (C) 14. Zang Yifeng 9. Mbenza G.	1. Li Guanxi (G) 18. Jiang Zilei 15. Liu Wei (C) 6. Hu Mingfei 7. Ye Daochi 14. Liu Weicheng 26. Palocevic A. 25. Cao Kang 39. Liu Ye 20. Kolev A. 11. Chen Binbin
Substitutes
1. Ablet Kudirat (G) 27. Chen Yongze 19. Gao Haisheng 11. Gui Zihan 4. Liu Langzhou 32. Mao Kaiyu 21. Nur Sherzat 30. Shi Xiaton (G) 36. Tian Deao 25. Yang Jian 17. Zhao Jianbo 41. Zheng Zhiyun	32. Dai Bowei 3. Gu Jiayi 27. Hu Shuming 37. Jia Boyan 21. Jiang Jiapeng 13. Liao Lei 33. Li Haoran 16. Lu Jin (G) 45. Meng Junjie 36. Qiu Zhongyi 38. Yin Jiaxi 29. Yuye Zhang
Coaches
Li Jinyu	Kim Dae-Eui

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Liu Weicheng ↓, Jia Boyan ↑,
46', Liu Ye ↓, Yin Jiaxi ↑,
48', 1 - 0, Kunimoto T. ⚽, Gao Jiarun (A),
51', Jia Boyan 🟨,
70', Samuel A. ↓, Gui Zihan ↑,
72', 🟨,
72', Xu Dong 🟨,
76', Zang Yifeng 🟨,
78', Tian Yinong ↓, Tian Deao ↑,
83', Jiang Zilei ↓, Li Haoran ↑,
90+1', Chen Binbin ↓, Gu Jiayi ↑,
90+1', Cao Kang ↓, Meng Junjie ↑,
90+2', Kunimoto T. ↓, Gao Haisheng ↑,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League and 6).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Liaoning Tieren won 0.

At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.

Liaoning Tieren may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Liaoning Tieren is seen as the favorite.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Liaoning Tieren won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 2:17. (average 0.3:2.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Liaoning Tieren won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:6. (average 0:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Liaoning Tieren FC
Chinese Jia League
18.10.25	Ningbo Professional - Liaoning Tieren	0:3 ✺
11.10.25	Shijiazhuang Gongfu - Liaoning Tieren	1:2 ✺
05.10.25	Liaoning Tieren - Suzhou Dongwu	2:0 ✺
27.09.25	Liaoning Tieren - Dingnan United	0:0 ✺
21.09.25	Dalian Kun City - Liaoning Tieren	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WWWTT
- Nantong Zhiyun
Chinese Jia League
19.10.25	Nantong Zhiyun - Guangxi Pingguo Haliao	3:0 ✺
12.10.25	Dingnan United - Nantong Zhiyun	1:1 ✺
04.10.25	Nantong Zhiyun - Qingdao Red Lions	7:1 ✺
26.09.25	Nantong Zhiyun - Shaanxi Union	1:1 ✺
21.09.25	Shenzhen Juniors - Nantong Zhiyun	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Jia League
21.06.25	Nantong Zhiyun - Liaoning Tieren	2:2
14.08.22	Liaoning Tieren - Nantong Zhiyun	0:3
26.07.22	Nantong Zhiyun - Liaoning Tieren	4:0
11.12.21	Liaoning Tieren - Nantong Zhiyun	0:3
27.11.21	Nantong Zhiyun - Liaoning Tieren	4:0
Chinese Yi League
13.10.18	Nantong Zhiyun - Liaoning Tieren	1:0
06.10.18	Liaoning Tieren - Nantong Zhiyun	0:0

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