Match Info

Date: 21 July 2021, Wednesday


	Libertad Asuncion		Junior Barranquilla

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.4	4.2	Watch
	1.91	3.4	3.5
	1.88	3.35	3.75	Watch
	1.95	3.3	3.8
	2.01	3.45	4.04
	2	3.3	3.7	Watch
	1.98	3.54	3.68	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 ↓ (1.96)	3.39 ↑ (3.31)	3.81 ↑ (3.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Libertad Asuncion
47.9%

Draw
27.6%

Junior Barranquilla
24.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.2%

28%

24.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.4%

21.9%

19.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Libertad Asuncion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Junior Barranquilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Libertad Asuncion than the current prediction. (+12.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Libertad Asuncion, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Junior Barranquilla than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Junior Barranquilla, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Libertad Asuncion - Junior Barranquilla Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 4-3.

Libertad is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Junior is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Libertad could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Libertad will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Libertad won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Libertad Asuncion
Paraguayan Primera Division
18.07.21	Libertad Asuncion - Guaireña	0:0 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
14.07.21	Junior Barranquilla - Libertad Asuncion	3:4 ✺
Paraguayan Primera Division
29.05.21	Sportivo Luqueño - Libertad Asuncion	1:3 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
25.05.21	Palestino - Libertad Asuncion	1:2 ✺
Paraguayan Primera Division
22.05.21	Libertad Asuncion - Sol de América	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 TWWWL
- Junior Barranquilla
Colombian Primera A
17.07.21	América de Cali - Junior Barranquilla	3:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
14.07.21	Junior Barranquilla - Libertad Asuncion	3:4 ✺
Colombian Primera A
13.06.21	Millonarios - Junior Barranquilla	2:0 ✺
10.06.21	Junior Barranquilla - Millonarios	3:2 ✺
Copa Libertadores
25.05.21	Independiente Santa Fe - Junior Barranquilla	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 LLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Copa Sudamericana
14.07.21	Junior Barranquilla - Libertad Asuncion	3:4

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