Match Info

Date: 25 May 2021, Tuesday


	Palestino		Libertad Asuncion

	1	X	2
	5.75	4	1.57	Watch
	5	3.8	1.57
	4.8	3.85	1.58	Watch
	4.9	3.9	1.57
	5.15	4.26	1.61
	5.25	3.8	1.62	Watch
	4.95	4	1.59	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.11 ↑ (3.31)	3.94 ↑ (3.35)	1.59 ↓ (2.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Palestino
18.1%

Draw
23.5%

Libertad Asuncion
58.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.7%

27.4%

45%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.2%

20.9%

58.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Palestino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Palestino's form might have worsened.

Libertad Asuncion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Libertad Asuncion's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Palestino than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Libertad Asuncion than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
7.1%	5.7%	87.1%

Palestino - Libertad Asuncion Predictions

Users Predictions: Libertad Asuncion will win (61 of 70 users predict this - 87.14%).
Confidence interval (95%): 79.3% – 94.98%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Neutral location - Estadio El Teniente. No spectators.

Palestino is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Libertad is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Palestino could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Libertad is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Palestino won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Palestino won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Palestino Santiago
Copa Sudamericana
20.05.21	Newells Old Boys - Palestino	3:1 ✺
12.05.21	Atlético Goianiense - Palestino	0:0 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
08.05.21	Colo-Colo - Palestino	1:2 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
04.05.21	Palestino - Newells Old Boys	0:1 ✺
29.04.21	Palestino - Atlético Goianiense	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 LTWLL
- Libertad Asuncion
Paraguayan Primera Division
22.05.21	Libertad Asuncion - Sol de América	1:2 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
19.05.21	Atlético Goianiense - Libertad Asuncion	0:0 ✺
Paraguayan Primera Division
16.05.21	Guaraní Asuncion - Libertad Asuncion	1:6 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
13.05.21	Libertad Asuncion - Newells Old Boys	1:0 ✺
Paraguayan Primera Division
09.05.21	Libertad Asuncion - 12 de Octubre	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 LTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Copa Sudamericana
22.04.21	Libertad Asuncion - Palestino	2:0
18.08.16	Libertad Asuncion - Palestino	0:3
11.08.16	Palestino - Libertad Asuncion	1:0

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