Match Info

Challenge League - Relegation Group - Round 7

Date: 12 April 2025, Saturday

Location: The Sirens Stadium (St. Paul's Bay)


	Lija Athletic		Żebbuġ Rangers

	1	X	2
	1.53	3.9	4.8
	1.61	4.6	3.8	Watch
	1.7	4.32	3.72	Watch
	1.66	3.96	4.11
	1.61	4.6	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↓ (1.63)	4.28 ↑ (3.82)	4.05 ↓ (4.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lija Athletic
56.2%

Draw
21.3%

Żebbuġ Rangers
22.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.8%

23.8%

20.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.4%

20.2%

24%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lija Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Żebbuġ Rangers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lija Athletic than the current prediction. (-8.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lija Athletic that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Żebbuġ Rangers than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Lija Athletic - Żebbuġ Rangers Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Bonnici L. (C) 5. Azzopardi A. 7. Beu E. 2. Giordimaina C. 20. Iury 31. Jackson K. 15. Jovanoski J. 66. Khatib O. 4. Muscat L. 33. Sciberras B. 9. Winchester R.	1. Scicluna J. (G) 11. Buttigieg S. 3. Camilleri L. 17. Carbone J. 6. Cassar L. 7. Diaz C. 22. Gaetano J. 15. Micallef A. 8. Mizzi A. (C) 9. Mosquera D. 23. Vella J.
Substitutes
99. Amhamed A. 11. Costa R. 44. Courage O. 21. Fenech M. 19. Grech L. 16. Joyce G. 1. Mallia J. 8. Mifsud M. 88. Xuereb J.	12. Abela M. 14. Agius L. 20. Attard A. 19. Balzan S. 2. Carbone J. 21. Gatt L. 16. Mendes Fernandes F. J. G. 18. Sciberras O. 4. Zammit G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
13', Khatib O. ↓, Courage O. ↑,
39', 1 - 0, Beu E. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
53', 2 - 0, Iury ⚽,
63', Scicluna J. ↓, Abela M. ↑,
63', Carbone J. ↓, Attard A. ↑,
66', Winchester R. ↓, Costa R. ↑,
71', Micallef A. ↓, Carbone J. ↑,
72', 3 - 0, Costa R. ⚽,
80', Diaz C. ↓, Zammit G. ↑,
80', Mizzi A. ↓, Balzan S. ↑,
82', Azzopardi A. ↓, Mifsud M. ↑,
82', Jovanoski J. ↓, Joyce G. ↑,
82', Sciberras B. ↓, Fenech M. ↑,

Preview

Two teams are in a poor body shape now.

In this match Lija is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Lija won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7:5 (average 2.3:1.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Lija won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lija Athletic
Maltese Challenge League
06.04.25	Senglea Athletic - Lija Athletic	1:1 ✺
29.03.25	Lija Athletic - Fgura United	2:3 ✺
08.03.25	Gudja United - Lija Athletic	0:1 ✺
02.03.25	Lija Athletic - St. Andrews	0:2 ✺
22.02.25	Mtarfa - Lija Athletic	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 TLWLL
- Żebbuġ Rangers
Maltese Challenge League
06.04.25	Żebbuġ Rangers - St. Andrews	2:5 ✺
30.03.25	Senglea Athletic - Żebbuġ Rangers	1:2 ✺
08.03.25	Żebbuġ Rangers - Mtarfa	0:2 ✺
02.03.25	Fgura United - Żebbuġ Rangers	5:1 ✺
Maltese Challenge Cup
27.02.25	Żebbuġ Rangers - Santa Lucia	2:3 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Maltese Challenge League
20.10.24	Żebbuġ Rangers - Lija Athletic	2:2
21.01.24	Żebbuġ Rangers - Lija Athletic	1:1
08.12.19	Lija Athletic - Żebbuġ Rangers	4:2

Lija Athletic - Żebbuġ Rangers: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide