Match Info

Club Friendly

Date: 3 October 2026, Saturday


	Brest		Monza

	1	X	2
	2.40	3.40	2.50
	2.30	3.40	2.55
	2.30	3.45	2.50	Watch
	2.48	3.67	2.52
	2.22	3.7	2.73
	2.30	3.60	2.45
	2.44	3.68	2.58	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.35 ↑ (1.95)	3.56 ↑ (3.5)	2.55 ↓ (3.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brest
38.7%

Draw
25.6%

Monza
35.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.2%

25.7%

28.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.6%

26.5%

27.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brest has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Brest's form might have worsened.

Monza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Monza's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brest than the current prediction. (+8.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Brest, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Monza than the current prediction. (-8.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Monza, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Brest - Monza Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Poillion N. (G) 19. Ajorque L. 18. Bourgault J. 13. Chotard J. . Kante C. . Kante I. Y. 4. Lloris G. 2. Locko B. 8. Magnetti H. 39. N'Guessan D. 24. Tousart L.	43. Strajnar A. (G) 14. Akinsanmiro E. 19. Birindelli S. 28. Colpani A. 3. Lucchesi L. 7. Mangas R. 5. Maye Y. 47. Mota D. 16. Ngonge C. 8. Ondoa F. 22. Zeballos E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
27', 0 - 1, ⚽,
39', 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', 1 - 1, ⚽,
54', 🟨,
57', 2 - 1, ⚽,
89', 2 - 2, ⚽,
90+2', 🟨,
90+3', 🟨,

Preview

The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.

Brest could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

Last Results with these Odds

Brest - the odds 1.95 are the expected chance of winning is 46.16%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stade Brestois 29
French Ligue 1
20.09.26	Auxerre - Brest	2:1 ✺
13.09.26	Brest - Paris Saint-Germain	0:1 ✺
05.09.26	Le Havre - Brest	1:2 ✺
29.08.26	Brest - Toulouse	2:2 ✺
22.08.26	Le Mans - Brest	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LLWTT
- Monza 1912
Club Friendly
26.09.26	Monza - Cremonese	2:3 ✺
Italian Serie A
18.09.26	Monza - Sassuolo	2:1 ✺
13.09.26	Lecce - Monza	3:2 ✺
06.09.26	Parma - Monza	1:1 ✺
Coppa Italia
01.09.26	Torino - Monza	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.5 LWLTW

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