Match Info

FRANCE: LIGUE 1 - ROUND 20

Date: 4 February 2024, Sunday

Location: Stade Pierre-Mauroy (Villeneuve d'Ascq)

Referee: Dechepy B. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport
Croatia	Arena Sport
Czech-republic	Voyo
Denmark	Discovery+, Eurosport 2
France	Amazon Prime Video
Serbia	Arena Sport


	Lille		Clermont

	1	X	2
	1.44	4.5	7.5	Watch
	1.4	4.6	8
	1.41	4.65	7.8	Watch
	1.42	4.75	8.4
	1.43	4.81	8.09
	1.36	4.6	8
	1.46	4.87	7.95	Watch
	1.41	4.95	8.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↑ (1.41)	4.72 ↓ (4.74)	7.98 ↑ (7.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Lille
67.7%

Draw
20.3%

Clermont
12%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.2%

20%

12.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.7%

19.6%

12.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lille has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Clermont has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lille than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Clermont than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
73.4%	21.9%	4.7%

Lille - Clermont Predictions

Users Predictions: 64 users predict this event. Lille will win (votes: 47 - 73.4%). Clermont will win (votes: 3 - 4.7%). It will Tie (votes: 14 - 21.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lille: 62.6% – 84.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Chevalier L. (G) 22. Santos T. 15. Yoro L. 4. Alexsandro 31. Ismaily 6. Bentaleb N. 21. Andre B. (C) 23. Zhegrova E. 8. Gomes A. 11. Ounas A. 9. David J.	99. Diaw M. (G) 17. Pelmard A. 4. Matsima C. 5. Caufriez M. 2. Zeffane M. 7. Magnin Y. (C) 25. Gastien J. 3. Neto Borges 8. Boutobba B. 23. Nicholson S. 11. Allevinah J.
Substitutes
10. Cabella R. 28. Fernandes R. 5. Gudmundsson G. 7. Haraldsson H. 24. Ilic A. 1. Mannone V. (G) 20. Miramon I. 19. Morais T. 12. Yazici Y.	22. Armougom Y. 12. Gonalons M. 97. Jacquet J. 6. Keita H. 95. Kyei G. 10. Muhammed Cham 1. N'Diaye M. (G) 21. Ogier F. 18. Rashani E.
Coaches
Fonseca P.	Gastien P.

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (Group Stage: ) and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Ligue 2).

Lille is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Clermont is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Lille is indisputable favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Lille won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Lille won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- OSC Lille
French Ligue 1
28.01.24	Montpellier - Lille	0:0 ✺
Coupe De France
21.01.24	Racing Paris - Lille	0:1 ✺
French Ligue 1
14.01.24	Lille - Lorient	3:0 ✺
Coupe De France
06.01.24	Lille - Golden Lion St. Joseph	12:0 ✺
French Ligue 1
20.12.23	Strasbourg - Lille	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 TWWWL
- Clermont Foot
French Ligue 1
28.01.24	Clermont - Strasbourg	1:1 ✺
Coupe De France
21.01.24	Clermont - Strasbourg	1:3 ✺
French Ligue 1
14.01.24	Nantes - Clermont	1:2 ✺
Coupe De France
05.01.24	Metz - Clermont	1:2 penalties ✺
French Ligue 1
20.12.23	Clermont - Rennes	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.7 TLWWL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 1
10.12.23	Clermont - Lille	0:0
01.02.23	Lille - Clermont	0:0
28.12.22	Clermont - Lille	0:2
06.03.22	Lille - Clermont	4:0
16.10.21	Clermont - Lille	1:0

Upcoming Matches