Match Info

FRANCE: Ligue 2 - Round 22

Date: 8 February 2025, Saturday

Location: Stade Saint-Symphorien (Metz)

Referee: Valnet A. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Metz		Clermont

	1	X	2
	1.55	3.9	6	Watch
	1.58	3.75	5.75
	1.56	3.6	5.4
	1.57	3.9	6.5
	1.56	3.88	5.94	Watch
	1.6	3.8	5.8
	1.59	3.96	6.4	Watch
	1.56	3.6	5.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↓ (1.62)	3.8 ↑ (3.7)	5.9 ↑ (5.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Metz
59.5%

Draw
24.6%

Clermont
15.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57%

25%

18%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.3%

24.4%

17.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Metz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Clermont has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Metz than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Clermont than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	7.1%	7.1%

Metz - Clermont Predictions

Users Predictions: Metz will win (12 of 14 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.38% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
29. Bodart A. (G) 39. Kouao K. 38. Sane S. 4. Mboula U. 3. Udol M. (C) 7. Hein G. 21. Stambouli B. 20. Deminguet J. 10. Diallo P. A. 14. Sabaly C. 18. Gueye I.	1. N'Diaye M. (G) 15. Konate C. O. 21. Salmier Y. 23. Kore Y. 31. Diallo B. 25. Gastien J. (C) 28. M'Bahia I. 37. Diagouraga T. 6. Keita H. 11. Douane M. 26. Bassouamina M.
Substitutes
99. Asoro J. 19. Bokele Mputu M. 2. Colin M. 6. Nduquidi J. 16. Oukidja A. (G) 9. Sane I. 12. Toure A.	44. Ackra A. 22. Armougom Y. 77. Baaloudj M. 18. Diedhiou F. 29. Fakili I. 30. Guivarch T. (G) 20. Kabeya E.
Coaches
Le Mignan S.	Batlles L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
4', 1 - 0, Diallo P. A. ⚽,
10', Diagouraga T. 🟨,
18', 2 - 0, Sabaly C. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
53', 2 - 1, Bassouamina M. ⚽,
56', Konate C. O. ↓, Baaloudj M. ↑,
56', Diagouraga T. ↓, Diedhiou F. ↑,
65', M'Bahia I. ↓, Armougom Y. ↑,
69', 3 - 1, Gueye I. ⚽, Hein G. (A),
71', Sabaly C. ↓, Sane I. ↑,
81', Diallo P. A. ↓, Bokele Mputu M. ↑,
81', Deminguet J. ↓, Toure A. ↑,
86', Douane M. ↓, Fakili I. ↑,
90+3', Gueye I. ↓, Asoro J. ↑,

Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 13).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Metz won 2.

Metz is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recent matches Clermont is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Metz could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Metz is a favorite.

There will not play in Clermont: Mwimba J. (Red Card) Saivet H. (Leg Injury)

Last 13 head-to-head matches Metz won 5 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 15:14 (average 1.2:1.1).

Including matches at home between the teams Metz won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7:7 (average 1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Metz
French Ligue 2
31.01.25	Bastia - Metz	1:1 ✺
24.01.25	Metz - Grenoble	3:0 ✺
18.01.25	Metz - Paris FC	3:1 ✺
11.01.25	Lorient - Metz	0:0 ✺
04.01.25	Metz - Pau	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 TWWTT
- Clermont Foot
French Ligue 2
31.01.25	Clermont - Ajaccio	0:1 ✺
25.01.25	Lorient - Clermont	3:2 ✺
18.01.25	Clermont - Laval	1:1 ✺
10.01.25	Martigues - Clermont	0:1 ✺
03.01.25	Caen - Clermont	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 LLTWW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
22.11.24	Clermont - Metz	1:1
French Ligue 1
10.03.24	Metz - Clermont	1:0
Coupe De France
05.01.24	Metz - Clermont	1:2 penalties
French Ligue 1
27.08.23	Clermont - Metz	0:1
17.04.22	Metz - Clermont	1:1
29.08.21	Clermont - Metz	2:2
French Ligue 2
18.01.19	Metz - Clermont	1:2

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