Match Info

FRANCE: LIGUE 1 - ROUND 19

Date: 28 January 2024, Sunday

Location: Stade Gabriel Montpied (Clermont-Ferrand)

Referee: Millot B. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	Amazon Prime Video
Portugal	Eleven Sports 3


	Clermont		Strasbourg

	1	X	2
	2.9	3.4	2.45	Watch
	2.9	3.25	2.45
	3.05	3.25	2.4	Watch
	3.05	3.3	2.42
	3.15	3.3	2.46
	2.9	3.3	2.3
	3.09	3.48	2.48	Watch
	3.1	3.25	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.02 ↑ (2.68)	3.32 ↑ (3.25)	2.43 ↓ (2.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Clermont
31.7%

Draw
28.9%

Strasbourg
39.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.5%

29.3%

35.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.5%

31%

33.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Clermont has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Strasbourg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Clermont than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Clermont, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Strasbourg than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Strasbourg, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	27.3%	47.7%

Clermont - Strasbourg Predictions

Users Predictions: 44 users predict this event. Clermont will win (votes: 11 - 25%). Strasbourg will win (votes: 21 - 47.7%). It will Tie (votes: 12 - 27.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Strasbourg: 32.9% – 62.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. N'Diaye M. (G) 2. Zeffane M. 21. Ogier F. (C) 5. Caufriez M. 17. Pelmard A. 8. Boutobba B. 25. Gastien J. 3. Neto Borges 23. Nicholson S. 7. Magnin Y. 18. Rashani E.	1. Sels M. (C) 28. Senaya M. 5. Perrin L. 24. Sylla A. 2. Guilbert F. 18. Mwanga J. 27. Sissoko I. 19. Diarra H. 26. Bakwa D. 11. Dion M. S. 23. Angelo
Substitutes
11. Allevinah J. 22. Armougom Y. 24. Berkani S. 19. Bouchenna M. 12. Gonalons M. 6. Keita H. 95. Kyei G. 10. Muhammed Cham 16. Ramousse T. (G)	25. Baseya S. 33. Bechikh M. 36. Bellaarouch A. (G) 3. Delaine T. 7. Deminguet J. 35. El Mourabet S. 10. Emegha E. 22. Nyamsi G. 30. Pierre A. (G)
Coaches
Gastien P.	Vieira P.

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Ligue 2 and 10).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Clermont won 0.

Recent matches Clermont is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Strasbourg in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Strasbourg could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Strasbourg have a series of guest games.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Clermont won 1 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Clermont won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Clermont Foot
Coupe De France
21.01.24	Clermont - Strasbourg	1:3 ✺
French Ligue 1
14.01.24	Nantes - Clermont	1:2 ✺
Coupe De France
05.01.24	Metz - Clermont	1:2 penalties ✺
French Ligue 1
20.12.23	Clermont - Rennes	1:3 ✺
17.12.23	Olympique Marseille - Clermont	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 LWWLL
- RC Strasbourg
Coupe De France
21.01.24	Clermont - Strasbourg	1:3 ✺
French Ligue 1
12.01.24	Olympique Marseille - Strasbourg	1:1 ✺
Coupe De France
06.01.24	Avoine - Strasbourg	0:4 ✺
French Ligue 1
20.12.23	Strasbourg - Lille	2:1 ✺
17.12.23	Lorient - Strasbourg	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.5 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Coupe De France
21.01.24	Clermont - Strasbourg	1:3
French Ligue 1
05.11.23	Strasbourg - Clermont	0:0
26.02.23	Clermont - Strasbourg	1:1
11.09.22	Strasbourg - Clermont	0:0
14.05.22	Strasbourg - Clermont	1:0
19.01.22	Clermont - Strasbourg	0:2
French Ligue 2
24.02.17	Strasbourg - Clermont	0:2

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