Match Info

Ligue 1 - Round 12

Date: 9 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Stade de la Meinau (Strasbourg)

Referee: Letexier F. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	CANAL+ Sport 2
Argentina	Disney+
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 6, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, TOD
Austria	DAZN
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 5
Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
Chile	Disney+
China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	Arena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay
France	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV
Germany	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch
Hong-kong	beIN SPORTS MAX
Italy	Ligue 1+
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	Setanta Sports
Mexico	Amazon Prime Video, Caliente TV, FOX One, Fox Sports
Netherlands	Viaplay
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Portugal	Sport TV7
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Sport 1x2, Arena Sport 3
Slovenia	Arena Sport 3
South-korea	Coupang Play
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport 1
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2 MAX
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 5, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	Amazon Prime Video, Ligue 1+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz
Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	K+, ON Plus, TV 360


	Strasbourg		Lille

	1	X	2
	2.6	3.7	2.5	Watch
	2.62	3.55	2.58
	2.71	3.6	2.62
	2.90	3.51	2.33	Watch
	2.79	3.66	2.61	Watch
	2.77	3.65	2.51
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.73 ↓ (2.91)	3.61 ↑ (3.45)	2.53 ↑ (2.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Strasbourg
35.2%

Draw
26.6%

Lille
38.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.5%

27.4%

40.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.8%

28%

41%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Strasbourg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Lille has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Strasbourg than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lille than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
22.7%	22.7%	54.5%

Strasbourg - Lille Predictions

Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Strasbourg will win (votes: 5 - 22.7%). Lille will win (votes: 12 - 54.5%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 22.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lille: 33.7% – 75.3%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Lille (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

DNB - Strasbourg (1.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Strasbourg (1.50) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Strasbourg (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Lille (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
39. Penders M. (G) 24. Hogsberg L. 23. Sarr M. 3. Chilwell B. 22. Doue G. 42. Ouattara A. 32. Barco V. 7. Moreira D. 19. Enciso J. 10. Emegha E. (C) 9. Panichelli J.	1. Ozer B. (G) 12. Meunier T. 3. Ngoy N. 23. Mandi A. 15. Perraud R. 32. Bouaddi A. 21. Andre B. (C) 27. Correia F. 10. Haraldsson H. 7. Fernandez-Pardo M. 9. Giroud O.
Substitutes
27. Amo-Ameyaw S. 17. Amougou M. 50. Bajic S. (G) 29. El Mourabet S. 20. Godo M. 11. Nanasi S. 41. Nzingoula R. 2. Omobamidele A. 16. Paez K.	6. Bentaleb N. 16. Bodart A. (G) 14. Broholm M. 29. Igamane H. 18. Mbemba Ch. 17. Mukau N. 11. Sahraoui O. 22. Santos T. 24. Verdonk C.
Coaches
Rosenior L.	Genesio B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
33', 1 - 0, Emegha E. ⚽, Moreira D. (A),
35', Panichelli J. 🟨,
37', Enciso J. 🟨,
37', Perraud R. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
62', 2 - 0, Emegha E. ⚽,
64', Fernandez-Pardo M. ↓, Igamane H. ↑,
65', Chilwell B. 🟨,
66', Rosenior L. 🟨,
66', Rosenior L. 🟨,
75', Emegha E. ↓, Nzingoula R. ↑,
76', Enciso J. ↓, El Mourabet S. ↑,
77', Correia F. ↓, Sahraoui O. ↑,
77', Giroud O. ↓, Broholm M. ↑,
85', Bouaddi A. ↓, Mukau N. ↑,
85', Perraud R. ↓, Verdonk C. ↑,
89', Ouattara A. ↓, Godo M. ↑,
89', Moreira D. ↓, Omobamidele A. ↑,
90+3', Verdonk C. 🟥,
90+7', Panichelli J. ↓, Amougou M. ↑,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 7 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Strasbourg won 2.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

There will not play in Strasbourg: Doukoure I. (Red Card) Oyedele M. (Injury) Sow S. (Knee Injury) Sylla A. (Inactive)

There will not play in Lille: Alexsandro (Thigh Injury) Caillard M. (Inactive) Gomes A. (Inactive) Mbappe E. (Inactive) Toure O. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Strasbourg: Johnsson K. (Inactive) Sarr M. (Illness)

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Strasbourg won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 19:26. (average 1.1:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Strasbourg won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 14:14. (average 1.4:1.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- RC Strasbourg
UEFA Europa Conference League
06.11.25	Häcken - Strasbourg	1:2 ✺
French Ligue 1
02.11.25	Rennes - Strasbourg	4:1 ✺
29.10.25	Strasbourg - Auxerre	3:0 ✺
26.10.25	Lyon - Strasbourg	2:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
23.10.25	Strasbourg - Jagiellonia Białystok	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 WLWLT
- OSC Lille
UEFA Europa League
06.11.25	Crvena Zvezda Belgrade - Lille	1:0 ✺
French Ligue 1
02.11.25	Lille - Angers	1:0 ✺
29.10.25	Nice - Lille	2:0 ✺
26.10.25	Lille - Metz	6:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
23.10.25	Lille - PAOK	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 1
25.01.25	Strasbourg - Lille	2:1
21.09.24	Lille - Strasbourg	3:3
21.04.24	Lille - Strasbourg	1:0
20.12.23	Strasbourg - Lille	2:1
12.02.23	Lille - Strasbourg	2:0
14.10.22	Strasbourg - Lille	0:3
24.04.22	Lille - Strasbourg	1:0

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