Match Info

Europa League - League phase - Round 8

Date: 29 January 2026, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stade Pierre-Mauroy (Villeneuve d'Ascq) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Sylwestrzak D. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Argentina	17:00	Disney+
Armenia	00:00	Fast Sports 2, Fast Sports
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, beIN Sports MENA 7, TOD
Australia	07:00	Stan Sport
Austria	21:00	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1, Sky Sport Austria 8
Canada	15:00	DAZN Canada
Chile	17:00	Disney+
China	04:00	ZhiBo8
Colombia	15:00	Disney+
Croatia	21:00	Arena Sport 7, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	22:00	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 2, Cytavision Sports 2
Denmark	21:00	Disney+
Finland	22:00	Viaplay
France	21:00	CANAL+ France, Canal+ Live 1, Free
Germany	21:00	RTL+
Greece	22:00	ANT 1+, COSMOTE Sport 8
Hong Kong	04:00	beIN SPORTS MAX
Hungary	21:00	Sport 2
Iceland	20:00	SÝN Sport, Viaplay
Indonesia	03:00	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Italy	21:00	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 256
Laos	03:00	beIN Connect
Malaysia	04:00	beIN Connect
Mexico	14:00	Disney+
New Zealand	09:00	DAZN New Zealand
North Central America	—	RUSH Sports 2 Caribbean
Norway	21:00	TV2 Play, Viaplay
Pakistan	01:00	Tapmad
Peru	15:00	Disney+
Philippines	04:00	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Portugal	20:00	DAZN / App
Russia	23:00	Okko Sport
Serbia	21:00	Arena Sport 6
Singapore	04:00	beIN Connect
South America	—	ViX Latin America
Spain	21:00	M+ Liga de Campeones 9
Sweden	21:00	Disney+
Switzerland	21:00	Blue Sport 6, Blue Sport 6, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Thailand	03:00	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX, True ID, True Premier Football 5
Turkey	23:00	Tabii
Ukraine	22:00	MEGOGO Futbol 2, MEGOGO Ukraine
United Kingdom	20:00	Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 8, TNT Sports Extra
Uruguay	17:00	Disney+
Usa	15:00	Paramount+
Venezuela	16:00	Disney+
Vietnam	03:00	ON Plus
International	20:00	VIX App


	Lille		Freiburg

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.6	3.8
	1.95	3.3	4.1
	2	3.5	4
	2.02	3.47	4.04
	2.06	3.57	3.55	Watch
	1.91	3.4	3.75
	1.99	3.68	3.88
	1.96	3.6	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↑ (1.96)	3.52 ↑ (3.37)	3.87 ↓ (4.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Lille
48.2%

Draw
27.1%

Freiburg
24.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

48.8%

28.4%

22.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.7%

28.9%

21.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lille has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Freiburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lille than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Freiburg than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
47.9%	31.2%	20.8%

Lille - Freiburg Predictions

Users Predictions: 48 users predict this event. Lille will win (votes: 23 - 47.9%). Freiburg will win (votes: 10 - 20.8%). It will Tie (votes: 15 - 31.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lille: 33.8% – 62%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 17 Selected Experts predict this event. Lille (votes: 5 - 29.4%). Freiburg (votes: 3 - 17.6%). Tie (votes: 9 - 52.9%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 7 - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 3 - 60%) .

DNB - Freiburg (2.64) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

DC - Freiburg (1.81) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

AH +0.5 - Freiburg (1.84) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 23 Selected Experts predict this event. Lille (votes: 5 - 21.7%). Freiburg (votes: 9 - 39.1%). Tie (votes: 9 - 39.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ozer B. (G) 22. Santos T. 23. Mandi A. 3. Ngoy N. 24. Verdonk C. 17. Mukau N. 21. Andre B. (C) 32. Bouaddi A. 27. Correia F. 10. Haraldsson H. 7. Fernandez-Pardo M.	1. Atubolu N. (G) 29. Treu P. 28. Ginter M. 43. Ogbus B. 30. Gunter C. (C) 8. Eggestein M. 44. Manzambi J. 19. Beste J. 14. Suzuki Y. 32. Grifo V. 20. Adamu J.
Substitutes
4. Alexsandro 39. Baret L. 16. Bodart A. (G) 42. Boussadia S. 14. Broholm M. 35. Diaoune S. 9. Giroud O. 43. Lachaab Y. 60. Lanssade Z. (G) 18. Mbemba Ch. 15. Perraud R.	27. Hofler N. 24. Huth J. (G) 22. Irie C. 5. Jung A. 33. Makengo J. 31. Matanovic I. 21. Muller F. (G) 6. Osterhage P. 7. Scherhant D. 65. Steinmann K.
Coaches
Genesio B.	Schuster J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
60', Grifo V. ↓, Scherhant D. ↑,
60', Adamu J. ↓, Matanovic I. ↑,
72', Andre B. 🟨,
72', Beste J. ↓, Irie C. ↑,
74', Eggestein M. 🟥,
82', Correia F. ↓, Giroud O. ↑,
82', Verdonk C. ↓, Perraud R. ↑,
83', Manzambi J. ↓, Osterhage P. ↑,
83', Suzuki Y. ↓, Jung A. ↑,
86', Haraldsson H. 🟨,
90+2', 1 - 0, Giroud O. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

Lille is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Freiburg is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Lille will hold a modest advantage in this match.

There will not play in Lille: Bentaleb N. (Injury) Gomes A. (Inactive) Igamane H. (Knee Injury) Meunier T. (Muscle Injury) Sahraoui O. (Injury) Toure O. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Freiburg: Kyereh D. (Lacking Match Fitness)

There are questionable in Lille: Andre B. (Injury)

There are questionable in Freiburg: Kubler L. (Injury) Lienhart P. (Abdominal strain)

We predict that Freiburg will win today's game, with odds of 3.83.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- OSC Lille
French Ligue 1
25.01.26	Lille - Strasbourg	1:4 ✺
UEFA Europa League
22.01.26	Celta de Vigo - Lille	2:1 ✺
French Ligue 1
16.01.26	Paris Saint-Germain - Lille	3:0 ✺
Coupe De France
11.01.26	Lille - Lyon	1:2 ✺
French Ligue 1
03.01.26	Lille - Rennes	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- SC Freiburg
German Bundesliga
25.01.26	Freiburg - Köln	2:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
22.01.26	Freiburg - Maccabi Tel Aviv	1:0 ✺
German Bundesliga
18.01.26	Augsburg - Freiburg	2:2 ✺
14.01.26	RB Leipzig - Freiburg	2:0 ✺
10.01.26	Freiburg - Hamburger SV	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WWTLW

Upcoming Matches