Match Info

Ligue 1 - Round 9

Date: 30 October 2026, Friday ⏱️ In 2h 25m 📅 Remind Me

Location: Stade Pierre-Mauroy (Villeneuve d'Ascq) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Brisard J. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	CANAL+ Sport 2
Argentina	17:05	Disney+, ESPN 2
Armenia	00:05	Fast Sports, Setanta Sports 1
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, beIN Sports MENA 5, TOD
Austria	21:05	DAZN
Azerbaijan	00:05	Setanta Sports 1
Bolivia	16:05	ESPN 2
Bosnia And Herzegovina	21:05	Arena Sport 4
Bulgaria	22:05	Diema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	16:05	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
China	04:05	Migu
Colombia	15:05	ESPN 2
Croatia	21:05	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	22:05	Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
Czech Republic	21:05	Nova Sport 4, Oneplay
Denmark	21:05	Viaplay
Ecuador	15:05	ESPN 2
Estonia	22:05	Go3 Extra Sports
Europe	—	Setanta Sports 1 Baltic
Finland	22:05	Viaplay 3 Urheilu, Viaplay, V Sport Premium
France	21:05	DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV
Georgia	00:05	Setanta Sports 1
Germany	21:05	DAZN Deutsch
Hong Kong	04:05	beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX
Indonesia	03:05	Vidio
Israel	22:05	5 SPORT Israel
Italy	21:05	Ligue 1+
Japan	05:05	DAZN Japan
Kosovo	21:05	Arena Premium 3
Kyrgyzstan	02:05	Setanta Sports 1
Lithuania	22:05	Go3 Extra Sports
Mexico	14:05	FOX One, FOX Sports
Moldova	22:05	Setanta Sports 1
Netherlands	21:05	Viaplay
North Central America	—	Disney+ Caribbean
North Macedonia	21:05	Arena Premium 3
Norway	21:05	Viaplay
Paraguay	17:05	ESPN 2
Peru	15:05	Disney+, ESPN 2
Poland	21:05	Eleven Sports 2
Romania	22:05	Voyo
Serbia	21:05	Arena Premium 3
Slovakia	21:05	Nova Sport 4, Voyo
Slovenia	21:05	Arena Sport 1
South Korea	05:05	Coupang Play
Spain	21:05	DAZN Espana
Sweden	21:05	Viaplay, V Sport Premium
Switzerland	21:05	DAZN Switzerland
Tajikistan	01:05	Setanta Sports 1
Turkey	23:05	beIN Connect
Turkmenistan	01:05	Setanta Sports 1
Ukraine	22:05	MEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine
United Kingdom	20:05	Ligue 1+
Uruguay	17:05	Disney+
Usa	16:05	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol
Uzbekistan	01:05	Setanta Sports 1
Venezuela	16:05	Disney+, ESPN 2, Inter
International	20:05	OneFootball TV


	Lille		Lens

	1	X	2
	2.60	3.30	2.70	Watch
	2.40	3.70	2.70
	2.70	3.20	2.55
	2.74	3.33	2.83
	2.73	3.44	2.53	Watch
	2.65	3.30	2.80
	2.76	3.37	2.80	Watch
	2.50	3.35	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.64 ↑ (2.39)	3.37 ↓ (3.61)	2.71 ↓ (2.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.00

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lille
36.3%

Draw
28.4%

Lens
35.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

39.6%

26.2%

34.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39%

26.4%

34.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lille has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Lens has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lille than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lens than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
39.1%	47.8%	13%

Lille - Lens Predictions

Users Predictions: 23 users predict this event. Lille will win (votes: 9 - 39.1%). Lens will win (votes: 3 - 13%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 47.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 27.4% – 68.2%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Lille (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Lens (1.94) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - under (1.81) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

New Consensus by Tipsters:

BTTS - yes (1.80) (votes: 100%) ⭐ Best Value.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Lille (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Lens (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

An intriguing matchup between an upper-bracket team and a mid-table rival (ranked 3rd in the Promotion - Champions League League phase and 7th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lille won 4.

Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

Confirmed absences for Lille: Igamane H. (Knee Injury) Nianzou T. (Red Card) Santos T. (Knee Injury) Ueda A. (Foot Injury).

Confirmed absences for Lens: Celik N. (Inactive) Chavez J. (Coach's decision) Edouard O. (Groin Injury) Ganiou I. (Knee Injury) Nawrocki M. (Knee Injury) Sima A. (Muscle Injury).

In the last 15 head-to-head meetings, Lille has recorded 8 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 25:14 (averaging 1.7:0.9 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Lille against this opponent, the record stands at 6 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 15:4 goals (averaging 2.1:0.6 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Lille	8	4	3	1	11:6	5	15
7	Lens	8	4	1	3	16:12	4	13

Outrights of French Ligue 1 for now

Lille: 3.71% Lens: 2.21%

Last Results with these Odds

Lille - the odds 2.39 are the expected chance of winning is 39.56%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- OSC Lille
French Ligue 1
25.10.26	Monaco - Lille	1:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
21.10.26	Lille - Galatasaray	2:4 ✺
French Ligue 1
17.10.26	Lille - Brest	1:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
13.10.26	Arsenal - Lille	3:0 ✺
French Ligue 1
10.10.26	Lille - Le Havre	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 TLTLW
- RC Lens
French Ligue 1
24.10.26	Lens - Paris FC	2:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
21.10.26	Club Brugge - Lens	3:0 ✺
French Ligue 1
17.10.26	Troyes - Lens	1:3 ✺
UEFA Champions League
13.10.26	Lens - Sporting Lisbon	0:2 ✺
French Ligue 1
09.10.26	Lens - Lyon	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 1
04.04.26	Lille - Lens	3:0
20.09.25	Lens - Lille	3:0
30.03.25	Lille - Lens	1:0
26.10.24	Lens - Lille	0:2
29.03.24	Lille - Lens	2:1
08.10.23	Lens - Lille	1:1
04.03.23	Lens - Lille	1:1

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