Match Info

Ligue 1 - Round 8

Date: 19 October 2025, Sunday

Location: Stade Bollaert-Delelis (Lens)

Referee: Angoula G. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	CANAL+ Sport 2
Argentina	Disney+
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD
Austria	DAZN
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 5
Bulgaria	Nova Sport
Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
Chile	Disney+
China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	Arena Sport 7, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 5, Oneplay
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay
France	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV
Germany	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 1, Now Player
Italy	Ligue 1+
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kosovo	ART Sport 5
Mexico	Amazon Prime Video, Caliente TV
Netherlands	Viaplay
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
Norway	Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Portugal	Sport TV2
Romania	Voyo
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Sport 1x2
Slovakia	Voyo
South-korea	Coupang Play
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport 1
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 4
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 5, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	Ligue 1+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz
Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	K+, ON Plus, TV 360


	Lens		Paris FC

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.9	4.1	Watch
	1.82	3.95	3.95
	1.85	3.83	4.38
	1.86	3.56	4.09	Watch
	1.92	4	4.09	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↓ (1.85)	3.85 (3.85)	4.12 ↑ (3.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Lens
51.8%

Draw
24.9%

Paris FC
23.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.3%

24.7%

24%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.3%

24.2%

23.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lens has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Paris FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lens than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paris FC than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
79.8%	17%	3.2%

Lens - Paris FC Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.75 - Lens (2.01) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Paris FC (1.89) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Lens will win (75 of 94 users predict this - 79.79%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.67% – 87.91%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Lens will win (41 of 47 users predict this - 87.23%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 49 Selected Experts predict this event. Lens (votes: 42 - 85.7%). Paris FC (votes: 2 - 4.1%). Tie (votes: 5 - 10.2%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
40. Risser R. (G) 24. Gradit J. 6. Baidoo S. 20. Sarr M. 2. Aguilar R. 8. Sangare M. 28. Thomasson A. (C) 14. Udol M. 10. Thauvin F. 29. Guilavogui M. 11. Edouard O.	16. Nkambadio O. (G) 14. Traore H. 31. Chergui S. 6. Otavio 28. De Smet T. 21. Lopez M. (C) 33. Lees-Melou P. 17. Camara A. 10. Kebbal I. 11. Krasso J. 27. Simon M.
Substitutes
23. Abdulhamid S. 5. Bulatovic A. 38. Fofana R. 1. Gurtner R. (G) 13. Jhoanner Chavez 15. Ojediran H. 22. Said W. 19. Sima A. 7. Sotoca F.	12. Dicko N. 9. Geubbels W. 7. Gory A. 93. Ikone J. 15. Kolodziejczak T. 4. Marchetti V. 5. Mbow M. 19. Sangui N. 35. Trapp K. (G)
Coaches
Sage P.	Gilli S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
8', Kebbal I. 🟨,
9', Thauvin F. (Pen),
11', Gilli S. 🟨,
17', 1 - 0, Edouard O. ⚽, Thomasson A. (A),
27', 1 - 1, Lees-Melou P. ⚽, Kebbal I. (A),
45+1', Thauvin F. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', De Smet T. ↓, Sangui N. ↑,
55', Traore H. 🟨,
59', Edouard O. ↓, Said W. ↑,
63', Simon M. ↓, Gory A. ↑,
63', Krasso J. ↓, Geubbels W. ↑,
64', 2 - 1, Baidoo S. ⚽, Thomasson A. (A),
72', Camara A. ↓, Ikone J. ↑,
72', Thauvin F. ↓, Sima A. ↑,
73', Aguilar R. ↓, Abdulhamid S. ↑,
82', Lees-Melou P. ↓, Marchetti V. ↑,
90', Sima A. 🟨,
90+4', Guilavogui M. ↓, Sotoca F. ↑,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lens won 3.

At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.

In this match, Lens is the team to beat.

There will not play in Lens: Bermont A. (International duty) Ganiou I. (Red Card) Machado D. (Knee Injury) Sylla F. (International duty)

There will not play in Paris FC: Cafaro M. (Muscle Injury) Hamel P. (Hamstring Injury) Lopez J. (Calf Injury)

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Lens won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:8. (average 1:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Lens won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:3. (average 0.6:0.6).

Last Results with these Odds

Lens - the odds 1.85 are the expected chance of winning is 51.32%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- RC Lens
French Ligue 1
04.10.25	Auxerre - Lens	1:2 ✺
28.09.25	Rennes - Lens	0:0 ✺
20.09.25	Lens - Lille	3:0 ✺
14.09.25	Paris Saint-Germain - Lens	2:0 ✺
29.08.25	Lens - Brest	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WTWLW
- Paris FC
French Ligue 1
03.10.25	Paris FC - Lorient	2:0 ✺
28.09.25	Nice - Paris FC	1:1 ✺
21.09.25	Paris FC - Strasbourg	2:3 ✺
14.09.25	Brest - Paris FC	1:2 ✺
31.08.25	Paris FC - Metz	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 WTLWW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
02.03.20	Paris FC - Lens	0:2
28.09.19	Lens - Paris FC	2:1
French Ligue 1
21.05.19	Paris FC - Lens	1:2 penalties
French Ligue 2
03.03.19	Paris FC - Lens	2:0
28.09.18	Lens - Paris FC	0:0
30.04.18	Lens - Paris FC	1:0
08.12.17	Paris FC - Lens	2:2

Upcoming Matches